Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b65d3bf652ab25430a076d9fe686d4f92afe536b8a5336f576f6424d9797563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,766,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,925,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,766,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 31c | 274,618$84,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,406.05 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Yandex | 3c | 118,300$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.74 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 73,544$45,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,519.72 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 38c | 72,566$27,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,314.34 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 40c | 45,826$18,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,495.49 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 40c | 41,845$16,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,251.88 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Aurora | 39c | 29,595$11,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,097.38 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Aurora | 17c | 27,313$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,551.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 57c | 27,147$15,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,473.43 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Team Yandex | 61c | 27,023$16,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,574.41 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Yandex | 77c | 25,560$19,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,685.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 43c | 23,156$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,156.15 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Team Yandex | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Aurora | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Aurora | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.96 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 41c | 18,000$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.7 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 60c | 17,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Yandex | 71c | 16,107$11,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,375.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 14,739$7,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 14,091$8,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,613.61 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 14,000$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex | 59c | 14,000$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,259.98 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 35c | 13,979$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,132.56 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 13,551$8,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,058.87 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 52c | 12,510$6,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,452.93 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 12,484$8,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,068.27 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Yandex | 74c | 12,169$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Yandex | 62c | 12,152$7,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,576 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Aurora | 59c | 11,563$6,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.27 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 11,501$6,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Aurora | 74c | 10,597$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.13 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex | 55c | 10,168$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.81 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 41c | 10,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.06 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Aurora | 46c | 9,096$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 8,898$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.36 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Aurora | 54c | 8,826$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.16 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Yandex | 70c | 8,405$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 27c | 8,099$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.39 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Aurora | 17c | 8,060$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,689.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Yandex | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…94f6backed Team Yandex | 60c | 7,732$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora | 40c | 7,633$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.78 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Team Yandex | 63c | 7,236$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Yandex | 66c | 7,231$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.93 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora | 41c | 7,213$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.53 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 7,185$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.07 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 37c | 7,079$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Team Yandex | 62c | 6,750$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex | 57c | 6,536$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.28 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Aurora | 65c | 6,519$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 40c | 6,491$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.81 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Yandex | 61c | 6,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 57c | 5,925$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.65 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Yandex | 61c | 5,786$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.14 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 5,540$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.47 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex | 42c | 5,468$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 40c | 5,376$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.34 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Yandex | 57c | 5,300$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 53c | 5,260$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Yandex | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Yandex | 44c | 5,100$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.78 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Aurora | 42c | 4,722$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.09 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Aurora | 37c | 4,704$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.88 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 4,575$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.55 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 4,272$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.26 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 4,184$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.28 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex | 60c | 4,113$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.74 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 4,088$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Yandex | 63c | 4,024$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Team Yandex | 61c | 4,021$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Yandex | 25c | 4,000$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.04 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Yandex | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 3,967$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.4 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Aurora | 78c | 3,958$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.91 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,904$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.96 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,760$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,700$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 3,698$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.69 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…9e86backed Aurora | 78c | 3,641$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.03 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Team Yandex | 61c | 3,510$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora | 60c | 3,500$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.62 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 3,465$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.45 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Aurora | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.82 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Yandex | 61c | 3,293$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.4 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 3,193$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.49 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 3,183$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.51 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 59c | 3,155$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.36 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 3,130$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Aurora | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Aurora | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,974$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.27 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 34c | 2,972$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.39 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,900$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,898$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.28 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 79c | 2,897$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.35 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,895$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.48 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 2,833$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.84 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.