TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52e5…60ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,578.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$268.35
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$310.68
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,703Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$4,271.78
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,535
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$695
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$448.25
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$285.98
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,866.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$167.47
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$352
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$1,309
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$312.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$705.88
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$121.15
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$223.03
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$3,277.3
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$682
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.86
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$506.95
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$621.37
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$941.18
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$552.38
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$214.52
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$2,055.82
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$681
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+90%+$1,800.13
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$151.53
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$939.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$652.12
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$1,146.69
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$1,179.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$59.64
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$254.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$192.77
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+60.8%+$7.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.