Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe3cbce151bc2998ab7fc5c571bee622da5bca634ea911882adfd545b189eb6

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,222,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $847,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,222,324 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	13c	52,249$6,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,743.59	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	78c	24,399$19,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,319.87	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	2c	23,007$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.08	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	21c	18,847$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,946.02	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	18,225$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.22	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	28c	16,437$4,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,597.9	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	15,819$1,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.08	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	13,645$2,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,274.08	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	76c	13,602$10,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,265.1	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1385…1cf9backed Yes	21c	11,386$2,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…4471backed Yes	40c	10,862$4,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,349.15	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	10,665$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	25c	10,418$2,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,601.3	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e91…134ebacked No	56c	10,000$5,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,430	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+79.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc6…e280backed Yes	44c	10,000$4,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,430	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	22c	9,763$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190.07	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	8,990$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9065…b9a3backed No	56c	8,500$4,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,740	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8195…145cbacked Yes	44c	8,500$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Yes	0c	8,322$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.78	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	27cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	22c	8,208$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.07	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…f46cbacked No	56c	8,000$4,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,560	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17be…0dc8backed Yes	45c	8,000$3,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,560	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes	17c	7,772$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.25	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	19c	7,763$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.68	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d52…fac8backed Yes	43c	7,500$3,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,225	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a1bbacked No	57c	7,500$4,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,225	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	17c	7,420$1,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,297.1	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	7,111$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.86	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	2c	6,621$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.73	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	28c	6,586$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.09	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	56c	6,263$3,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,753.82	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0216…d434backed No	56c	6,200$3,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,728	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef7…3e02backed Yes	44c	6,200$2,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,728	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	6,136$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.02	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	20c	6,128$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.25	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	29c	5,612$1,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,630.65	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	13c	5,054$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.01	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	5,017$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	13c	5,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…9218backed Yes	14c	4,853$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.51	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	34c	4,853$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.4	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	19c	4,836$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.44	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	16c	4,773$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.06	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc029…0533backed Yes	20c	4,689$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	4,667$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	31c	4,647$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.5	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	20c	4,312$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.57	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	23c	4,225$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.79	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…d6fcbacked Yes	20c	4,192$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.7	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe935…778dbacked Yes	15c	3,902$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.7	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	3,842$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.24	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	21c	3,773$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.8	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	28c	3,614$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	4c	3,502$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes	13c	3,463$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.26	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	3,411$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.69	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	24c	3,357$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.43	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	3,348$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	70c	3,330$2,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.71	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	18c	3,202$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.38	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	75c	3,198$2,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.74	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	24c	3,163$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.69	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	31c	3,104$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.14	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	34c	3,093$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.03	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	16c	3,052$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.98	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6081…def1backed Yes	44c	3,000$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…bc37backed No	56c	3,000$1,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb47…b3e6backed Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	10c	2,899$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67f…e81cbacked Yes	11c	2,790$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.03	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	10c	2,782$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.49	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62f…990bbacked Yes	11c	2,599$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.94	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	36c	2,543$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.55	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb088…ee40backed Yes	44c	2,500$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42fd…96c0backed No	56c	2,500$1,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	23c	2,467$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.75	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No	79c	2,453$1,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.83	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	7c	2,452$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.67	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Yes	10c	2,438$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.81	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	32c	2,420$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.23	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc6…2b42backed No	70c	2,397$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.44	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	22c	2,351$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.57	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	2,216$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.39	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked No	76c	2,211$1,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.69	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	13c	2,182$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.72	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd886…1746backed Yes	37c	2,160$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+170%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	29c	2,151$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.08	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes	29c	2,082$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.19	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	9c	2,050$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.94	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	45c	2,033$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.71	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	8c	2,002$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.73	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	12c	2,000$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	1,982$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.05	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	29c	1,982$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.42	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Yes	34c	1,980$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.5	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-20%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	17c	1,947$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.11	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event