Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e56abf38080f33fb82ce3676c03989b7f93fddd6b3deea492e5a523609297a8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,492,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,336,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,492,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 876 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	55,068$9,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,602.55	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	21,965$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,045.08	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	16c	20,652$3,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,295.23	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	35c	18,613$6,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,588.85	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x074b…ffc9backed No	50c	18,586$9,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,324.57	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	30c	16,594$5,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,550.59	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	13,360$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,299.06	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Yes	18c	13,000$2,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,725	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	11,642$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,338.38	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…4471backed Yes	48c	10,745$5,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,569.23	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	22c	10,452$2,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,167.62	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed No	40c	9,395$3,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,798.06	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	9c	9,120$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,268.62	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…281ebacked Yes	6c	8,717$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,217.48	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1385…1cf9backed Yes	11c	8,503$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,551.62	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	64c	8,416$5,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,008.02	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	58c	8,218$4,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,471.46	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	33c	7,712$2,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,530.58	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	24c	7,347$1,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,587.46	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	6c	6,490$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,077.14	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	13c	6,151$829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,322.67	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	74c	6,108$4,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.85	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed No	6c	6,030$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.5	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	6c	6,000$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,615.03	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d6…745dbacked No	3c	5,876$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	46c	5,728$2,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,079.7	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	23c	5,643$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,342.62	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	5,062$3,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,422.58	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,750	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	4,988$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,327.76	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	9c	4,707$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,264.37	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	14c	4,704$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,055.08	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	4,483$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,196.66	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes	14c	4,482$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,834.94	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	7c	4,386$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,075.93	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	70c	4,332$3,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,281.46	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed No	2c	4,300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.59	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	4,244$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,011.05	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	72c	4,220$3,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,026.3	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes	9c	4,211$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,826.87	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	4,000$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,720	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes	48c	3,963$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,073.1	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	8c	3,888$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.88	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	3,840$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,610.91	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	32c	3,705$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,504.67	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	12c	3,493$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,072.81	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	15c	3,432$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,929.93	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	12c	3,405$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,993.74	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	3,381$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,152.56	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes	34c	3,365$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,215.2	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabf…81f0backed No	1c	3,302$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	2,935$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,617.71	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	21c	2,929$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,322.86	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eef…d34ebacked No	4c	2,921$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.85	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-81%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	27c	2,871$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,098.32	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	32c	2,769$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880.22	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	67c	2,724$1,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.35	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	34c	2,707$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.69	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	17c	2,700$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,244.79	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	21c	2,635$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,085.24	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	2,597$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,231.06	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	24c	2,570$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,945.54	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed No	2c	2,556$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.32	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	37c	2,512$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.64	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	73c	2,456$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.16	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes	79c	2,406$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.18	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x475b…e152backed No	76c	2,376$1,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,814.47	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	8c	2,339$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,145.75	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	70c	2,320$1,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.48	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c56…6556backed No	1c	2,312$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5357…a8f8backed Yes	44c	2,253$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.02	144	13.2%19 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed No	2c	2,176$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.09	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	31c	2,164$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.97	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	2,121$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,998.85	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	12c	2,083$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,833.33	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf561…d4f3backed Yes	4c	2,083$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,989.95	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.96per pick	4cpaid	+2,139.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd979…d8a0backed Yes	76c	2,032$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.94	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23f…8011backed No	1c	2,031$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	30c	2,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ca…2f7fbacked Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,759.98	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	29c	1,972$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.45	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d1…2206backed Yes	20c	1,957$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.6	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c7…3976backed Yes	14c	1,895$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.73	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…4a23backed Yes	16c	1,816$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.2	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+41%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No	6c	1,814$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.33	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb914…49dbbacked No	8c	1,749$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	1,700$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.03	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	1,682$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.99	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	9c	1,672$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.06	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…1e2abacked Yes	20c	1,655$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.84	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	21c	1,654$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,314.48	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	34c	1,601$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.78	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	10c	1,601$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,436.26	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	65c	1,543$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.62	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	6c	1,540$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.1	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	14c	1,523$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.3	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	1,514$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.98	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	6c	1,500$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.99	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e6…ea33backed Yes	26c	1,492$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.33	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	6c	1,492$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.83	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event