Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e47f95415fc1b610f067f67f71b330d6315e82b57bea59d0409a0b45c01f069

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $381,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2e60…e26fbacked Yes	0c	18,640$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes	0c	15,708$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-32%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,365$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	10,032$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.5	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	9,003$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	0c	8,923$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	7,399$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.91	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Yes	9c	4,217$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.83	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	4,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	9c	3,824$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.64	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	3,700$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.46	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,647$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	3c	3,450$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.45	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	3c	3,427$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.54	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb21…5c8ebacked Yes	10c	3,174$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	2,704$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	2,679$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.3	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	2c	2,250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.92	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,136$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.89	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	9c	2,117$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.98	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,111$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.78	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	2,081$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	2,039$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes	1c	1,823$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	91	16.5%15 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e41…9054backed Yes	4c	1,515$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	9c	1,498$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.73	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,480$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	3c	1,266$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	74	9.5%7 W · 67 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988f…5c5cbacked Yes	7c	1,210$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.84	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	5c	1,096$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0575…4c16backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	1c	999.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	10c	950.04$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.68	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	898.87$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006d…5cd7backed Yes	2c	850.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	14cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	822.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.58	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19d…334dbacked Yes	12c	821.51$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	800.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.68	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	5c	797.06$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864d…64afbacked Yes	8c	763.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	6c	724.96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.58	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	11c	699.98$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a16…2243backed Yes	9c	671.85$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6233…8216backed Yes	4c	651.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	5.9%2 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	10c	600.07$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92c7…224ebacked Yes	4c	586.59$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…3647backed Yes	10c	583.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	194	8.8%17 W · 177 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…5e0bbacked Yes	4c	500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacc1…06afbacked Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+72.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…7fdfbacked Yes	7c	500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba9e…47bdbacked Yes	2c	499.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	4c	499.55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	492.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d48…6573backed Yes	6c	432.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	393.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed Yes	8c	390$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.27	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2498…e6a7backed Yes	6c	386.78$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+124.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…a5a3backed Yes	11c	381.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.37	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	351.08$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.19	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	9c	339.8$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.94	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9f…2c25backed Yes	11c	313.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x863c…655cbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	108	16.7%18 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb63d…564cbacked Yes	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	4c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	295.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2dc…e100backed Yes	9c	290.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.44	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Yes	5c	281.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…d264backed Yes	4c	272.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+222%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc958…fcffbacked Yes	6c	261.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c02…53c6backed Yes	9c	256.24$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.77	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4982…fe01backed Yes	8c	245.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	29.6%34 W · 81 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked Yes	8c	242.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da4…131fbacked Yes	11c	229.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…773bbacked Yes	7c	229.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	5c	207$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed87…b78abacked Yes	7c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	47	4.3%2 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-76%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2feb…29c3backed Yes	11c	194.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f3…42eabacked Yes	11c	192.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c04…6587backed Yes	8c	182.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	470	32.6%153 W · 317 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d32…d12bbacked Yes	11c	176.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d27…cf39backed Yes	11c	175.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a95…e65dbacked Yes	11c	174.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	11c	169.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d4…0e8bbacked Yes	9c	165.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	54	13%7 W · 47 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4878…dfacbacked Yes	10c	160.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	9c	156.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09c9…6162backed Yes	7c	141.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0151…3691backed Yes	10c	111.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	113	28.3%32 W · 81 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Yes	10c	102.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd5…2036backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	330	27.9%92 W · 238 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event