TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb68f…6fd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
568
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Earnings, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 60 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT36018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 360 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$427
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$192
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$383.49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$116.35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+241.3%+$69.04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.79
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 360 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT5837.9%22 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.8
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$6.92
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 1.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will "Finding Her Edge" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$156.77
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will "Run Away" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$67.5
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$213
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46.79
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$102.9
Will Katherine LaNasa be nominated for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$70.52
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+86.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nike say "Retailer" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.66
Will Nike say "Express Lane" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Nike say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+300%+$212.07
Will FedEx say "Guidance" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FedEx say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$96.22
Will FedEx say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.63
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+203%+$100.5
Will Chewy say "Humanization" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$76.5
Will Adobe say "LLM Optimizer" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+122.4%+$46.62
Will Snowflake say "Europe" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+170.3%+$94.5
Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$83.57
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+154.2%+$91
Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$136.5
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+45.9%+$47.25
Will Walmart say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+48.9%+$19.7
Will Walmart say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.4
Will Walmart say "Omnichannel" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28.15
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+93.8%+$39.14
Will NVIDIA say "Cosmos" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$48.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.8
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Trump say "Detroit Economic Club" this week? (January 25)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.32
Will Trump say "Soleimani" this week? (January 25)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week? (January 25)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump say "South Africa" or "G20" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.5
Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$32.4
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.02
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.8
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.29
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$221.9
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $650b and $660b on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$160.04
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.4%+$79.9
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$75
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$54.44
Will Brian Armstrong say "Tokenized Equity" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+429.1%+$121.81
Will Brian Armstrong say "Base Token" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$16.05
Will Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.13
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104.99
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$32.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$118.5
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73%+$23.05
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$105.96
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$84.1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$74.04
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+80.5%+$182.42
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+316.7%+$228
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Boston have a white Christmas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will New York City have a white Christmas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+195.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.2
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$281.92
Will Keir Starmer say "Home Office" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+455.6%+$51.34
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+46.3%+$33.78
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$909.76
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.45
Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$716.91
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$873.29
Ethereum all time high by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.