TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$768,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$897,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe264…7a75backed Yes27c68,611$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,799.781625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes3c48,459$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.318315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c22,843$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84250%0 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes4c20,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes1c19,061$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.641488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No77c17,742$13,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.6558126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…d4a6backed No79c16,380$12,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.872055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes23c16,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6603240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No75c15,971$11,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.6429126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes10c15,121$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.327328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa853…da85backed No80c13,749$10,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.031883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes30c13,285$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce9…d940backed No76c13,145$10,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.817100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes4c12,600$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.58010%8 W · 72 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes11c11,117$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.312850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No79c9,890$7,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.2313863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No78c9,115$7,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.9518425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed No76c8,258$6,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.9212824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4054…e6ccbacked Yes14c7,007$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…dba8backed No70c5,720$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…1a76backed Yes18c5,658$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.811250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c5,612$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.531,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc66…83e1backed Yes6c5,195$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300220%0 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49bc…92a5backed No76c5,150$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Yes9c5,000$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.51170%0 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49dd…83e9backed Yes16c4,958$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes2c4,956$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.12520%0 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x529a…58eabacked Yes20c4,556$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…62d0backed No80c4,462$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.8wins-0.59per pick72cpaid-84.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xadd3…94edbacked No77c3,280$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes9c3,051$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.522270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f52…9039backed Yes3c3,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…6ab4backed No75c2,980$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…7257backed Yes19c2,855$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x553b…8735backed Yes7c2,815$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.59110%0 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed No69c2,800$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8687652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No75c2,529$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.954759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5426…1339backed Yes20c2,254$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460290%0 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2be3…7100backed Yes7c2,159$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c2,003$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.644163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…aad8backed Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e51…3e80backed Yes11c1,763$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200170%0 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x257d…6c6bbacked No71c1,594$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8f…3260backed No79c1,510$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.331190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…c226backed Yes4c1,443$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.543315.2%5 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc12…26b7backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes4c1,357$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50500%0 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes19c1,300$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.087231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa86…4c24backed Yes15c1,250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7b…7677backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004617.4%8 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c79…963dbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes7c1,100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8f…0644backed No70c1,100$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.54050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No70c1,050$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ea…60c2backed No70c1,050$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a56…59b2backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05af…1e04backed Yes2c994.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f1…bc37backed No77c927.27$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c83…ecebbacked Yes9c833.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7570%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Yes12c726.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.93020%6 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8bb…3395backed Yes7c686.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.041050%5 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+112.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No79c676.73$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.581361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcb…324dbacked No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa248…26a6backed Yes2c632.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2db…d5b7backed Yes17c587.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a2…a3c3backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002313%3 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No74c550$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.311658.6%68 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…5fddbacked Yes18c548.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x596f…9b1dbacked Yes5c508.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2360%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d8…48b7backed Yes4c505.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2260%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fb…9ce2backed No80c500.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes23c481.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.459041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes4c458.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-84.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…782fbacked No75c449.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.51275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No79c438.92$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.499054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7578…e5dabacked Yes23c429.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x78f2…51a1backed No76c412.45$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.755100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df0…2bfcbacked No70c400$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes13c399.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526810.3%7 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-77.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes26c381$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x792e…4d66backed No75c372$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c313.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.832222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b53…708bbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ca…0138backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4662…b73abacked No69c298$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232c…d50fbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e82…1d4bbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…eb56backed No73c274.43$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc7…a7a2backed Yes7c266.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5301…0f15backed No79c260.78$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b6…39bebacked No79c254.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.03650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8134…8eaabacked No75c249$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…a569backed No75c238.82$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74f…6c0abacked Yes25c229.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4890%0 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f27…1219backed Yes19c222$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.071618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c8…4a62backed Yes20c204.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-75.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5817953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.