TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,737,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,872,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,737,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd281…af47backed Yes61c103,860$63,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,326.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No71c103,733$73,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,897.7563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed No62c67,776$42,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,504.3435123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes1c59,980$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.15323.1%1 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick14cpaid-95%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes6c43,331$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.678010%8 W · 72 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes5c37,310$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.7918315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3283…1da9backed Yes40c36,050$14,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,360.571526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb20b…8da0backed Yes9c28,812$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.890%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No55c24,868$13,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,166.1237745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes53c23,655$12,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,421.123240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes8c22,177$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.9659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes4c21,642$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.697123.9%17 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89b…f512backed Yes2c20,920$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed No50c17,850$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,000.7522216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes1c16,929$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.181488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef2…61d1backed Yes2c16,485$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No49c15,596$7,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,891.694953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb64…181ebacked No19c14,706$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,977.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe588…c036backed Yes1c13,746$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3370%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No37c13,669$5,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,551.7913053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ee…0752backed Yes1c12,287$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes0c12,175$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.521070%0 W · 107 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47aa…09e9backed Yes14c10,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47090%0 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b6e…0319backed Yes2c9,416$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c2…84f3backed Yes1c8,889$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.72714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd6…5a2abacked Yes0c8,797$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No43c8,720$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.9429126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb24b…f263backed No44c8,341$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes42c7,932$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.157328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x463c…dee0backed Yes5c7,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…38b8backed Yes2c6,732$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed No33c6,547$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,378.8825824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9642…d2abbacked Yes8c6,542$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%0 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…52c0backed Yes8c6,302$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.48647.8%5 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes60c6,205$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.975925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9c10…888ebacked Yes6c6,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…fbbebacked Yes2c5,885$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3760%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No35c5,799$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.9218425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No47c5,767$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.89054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No67c5,705$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.1355032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc8…0f30backed Yes51c5,674$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.37911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No27c5,593$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.862975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed No71c5,306$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.4932524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes2c5,100$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.192270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes2c5,096$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.871693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20832.4%2 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6549…5401backed Yes7c5,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes53c5,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes50c4,611$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.689041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Yes2c4,544$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.42234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-88.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa853…da85backed No66c4,527$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.141883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No40c4,374$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.144759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes2c4,047$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.081431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x277f…ed32backed Yes65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83a…5facbacked Yes6c4,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes31c3,838$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19934848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…a9ccbacked No78c3,693$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.071485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0770…df24backed Yes2c3,611$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x553b…8735backed Yes12c3,601$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.48110%0 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcde6…11d7backed No67c3,571$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.07875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda94…c2cdbacked Yes2c3,521$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed No59c3,399$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.154920.4%10 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa131…dde2backed Yes62c3,228$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes25c3,101$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.565123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…680ebacked Yes13c3,069$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7e…7e80backed Yes6c3,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2f…fbbebacked Yes7c3,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…3260backed No61c2,937$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.181190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc66…47a9backed Yes75c2,900$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No32c2,884$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.083284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+59.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7575…6a41backed Yes2c2,722$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5460%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…c226backed Yes10c2,683$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.183315.2%5 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b3…9989backed Yes2c2,648$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed Yes19c2,595$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.726940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes57c2,550$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.017231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes8c2,548$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.252020%4 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked No36c2,528$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2f…0503backed Yes1c2,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d07…d953backed Yes7c2,500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes1c2,469$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.571165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5840…fb16backed No17c2,419$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick12cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb353…df38backed Yes3c2,363$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes9c2,269$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200500%0 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes45c2,223$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab51…e02cbacked Yes1c2,100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153d…cae2backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f52…9039backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes2c2,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfef5…1a76backed Yes3c1,984$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.511250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf143…fdb3backed No69c1,921$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4d…912bbacked Yes7c1,833$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.33425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…c57cbacked Yes17c1,767$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes40c1,740$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.1658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2b…d38dbacked No58c1,720$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d65…9ad4backed No57c1,667$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.67580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3d…b2cfbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Yes29c1,643$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.931428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked No61c1,642$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.725100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26aa…5054backed No57c1,632$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes2c1,590$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53611.1%4 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.