TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes47c43,063$20,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,971.135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd281…af47backed Yes19c20,900$3,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,928.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked No1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%0 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…3291backed No66c18,976$12,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,606.661553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes45c18,342$8,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,132.9522216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No59c17,002$10,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,112.0329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes64c12,475$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.737745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No70c10,400$7,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,325.5513863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No42c8,800$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.4955032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes52c8,569$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.5818425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No54c5,506$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.8663835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No16c5,322$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.3316761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No41c5,123$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.1658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…62d0backed No80c5,067$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.8wins-0.59per pick72cpaid-84.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No50c4,608$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.389041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes47c4,068$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.8612824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No3c3,425$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.381693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3283…1da9backed No51c2,700$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1c1…0cd6backed No57c2,320$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x979d…189bbacked Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012100%12 W · 0 L+5.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+139.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes33c1,514$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.262055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked No70c1,290$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.083855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes38c1,263$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.2425824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes33c1,160$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.5418315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb277…d809backed No45c1,140$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf11…cd6bbacked Yes45c1,000$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5481136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438d…8ef2backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No64c968.24$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.349546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe590…b056backed Yes32c935.78$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.232030%6 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4bb…0f25backed No55c838.09$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No51c837.53$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No54c794.29$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4913053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf265…99c9backed Yes63c762.09$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747b…f422backed Yes74c744$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a12…dfa3backed No70c729.35$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick64cpaid-76.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No25c670$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5519439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Yes29c652.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.134837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No61c638$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4611658.6%68 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5b…0d92backed No72c633$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e50…3de5backed No72c633$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+138.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ab…47f1backed Yes28c633$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+161.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e1…d12cbacked Yes28c633$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+241.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf571…c67ebacked Yes28c633$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+180.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18a…47dfbacked No72c633$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb265…b999backed No73c633$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e2…d3a1backed Yes27c633$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…5633backed Yes27c629$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+252.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e3…39cfbacked No73c629$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d1…66e4backed No73c629$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6721backed Yes27c629$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f66…e30fbacked Yes28c610$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0601…43ddbacked No73c610$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.320%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a4…f748backed No72c610$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b4…4910backed Yes27c610$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+79%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes43c609.88$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.2132524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa84…e985backed No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9d…b8c6backed Yes42c590.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked No58c565.91$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.42659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…409cbacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553773%27 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No25c467.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.41,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes53c445.02$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.566527.7%18 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed No20c425$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.453773%27 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No49c410$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.917953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa306…ab4bbacked Yes48c406.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.031770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+42.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12c1…3c0abacked No62c404.29$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.131275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffb…3c0ebacked Yes50c400.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No67c381.81$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.176250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No33c372.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6511533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b63…4c3abacked No46c368$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No32c346.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.062420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d7…0eecbacked Yes70c286.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a2e…5899backed Yes34c284$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x878d…a893backed No73c271$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed No10c270$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No42c269.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…c226backed Yes33c267.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.433315.2%5 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…9d8dbacked Yes33c258.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.44540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51da…1076backed No78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked No32c221.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.926274.4%195 W · 67 L+45.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes56c221.21$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…67a6backed Yes28c212.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.18560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+160.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd576…ca8dbacked Yes71c209.87$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No47c201$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.347835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4552…0333backed No46c188.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Yes32c181.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked Yes75c180$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.634742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked No75c155.9$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.46825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a7…6dfebacked No30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb73f…f476backed Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9045…321abacked Yes65c148.75$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…b798backed No71c148$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd978…9bc9backed Yes29c148$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6571…3133backed Yes29c148$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1d…48b1backed No71c148$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f74…99acbacked No71c147$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfddb…f2adbacked No72c147$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9610…a1ccbacked No71c147$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7da…d0c1backed Yes29c147$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.