TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x507c…4166

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
516
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.93
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$89.95
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$28.96
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.7%+$64.06
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.4%+$58.5
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$45.1
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.7
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.01
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,463.7%+$773.58
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+614.3%+$200.38
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$34.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+194.1%+$65.33
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$104.27
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+222.4%+$171.76
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.08
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.4%+$52.36
Will Solana reach $160 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.32
Will Solana reach $170 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.52
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.9%+$44.68
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5932.2%19 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.72
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$100.15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.61
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.85
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$116.68
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$41.22
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$77.91
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$87.97
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.13
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$23.7
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.66
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.75
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.72
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$308.75
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98.6
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$151.2
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+206.5%+$305.89
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.3
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+506.6%+$142.96
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.15
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.77
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$69.14
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.58
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$315.38
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.94
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.24
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$72.9
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$107.06
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$115.61
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.4%+$72.98
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$135.9
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.72
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$102.05
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+127.9%+$83.6
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$53.16
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.33
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.24
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$22.73
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.87
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$33.12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.4%+$39.15
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$113.21
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.66
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+167.3%+$170.24
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.1
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.83
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+900%+$291.2
GPT ads by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.72
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$5
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.7%+$22.43
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$67.04
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.83
Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.83
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74.75
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.9%+$56.48
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+366.9%+$439.25
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$169.25
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$18.71
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$116.99
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.15
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.52
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.79
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$83.2
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$161.56
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+184.2%+$361.62
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$177.4
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.46
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.2%+$21.96
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+533.5%+$550.75
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$164.28
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$112.3
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.37
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$137.26
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$90.57
Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.69
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.04
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.5%+$51.4
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$384.96
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.21
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$214.81
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.73
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$29.6
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.72
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43.24
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.56
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$181.23
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.48
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.16
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.4
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.72
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.73
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10.8
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.7
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$95.89
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.7%+$21.58
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$72.15
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$34.92
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.53
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.14
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$77.84
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$121.2
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.88
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+172.1%+$320.06
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.04
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.8%+$38.2
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.97
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.01
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.7%+$130.82
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.75
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$15.06
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$158.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+46.4%+$73.81
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$66.41
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+316.7%+$121.6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$266.57
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$73.31
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.36
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.98
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.74
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.29
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$76.14
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$85.59
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.92
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.7%+$46.86
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54.45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.1%+$81.07
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.88
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$134.01
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.52
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.1%+$80.05
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+95%+$100.36
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+733.3%+$270.16
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$98.47
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$118.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.07
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.26
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.03
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.35
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$70.76
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$79.43
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.19
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$198.69
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$119.6
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.2%+$156
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.6%+$29.96
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+320%+$539.43
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$97.72
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.46
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132.86
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.53
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$14.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+284.6%+$109.52
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$86.76
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29%+$30.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.92
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$132.05
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.41
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$236.55
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127%+$160.01
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$30.54
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.25
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$8.82
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.93
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.22
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.7
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.44
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.63
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$12.9
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+50.9%+$37.38
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$38.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.45
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$94.35
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+34.3%+$26.8
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+900%+$316.8
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.19
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$81.1
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54.54
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.93
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.72
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+89.5%+$32.16
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$113.45
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.4%+$20.21
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.5%+$19.09
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.4%+$16.9
Democratic sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+32.4%+$18.6
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+157.1%+$106.93
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$192.94
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$195.2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+77.1%+$85.54
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$166.13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+201.2%+$518.39
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+174%+$147.32
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.3%+$64.24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$128.62
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+60.5%+$98.75
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$60.6
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.57
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.8%+$75.65
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.85
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.4
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+62.5%+$38.46
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88.85
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+32.4%+$29.35
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+118.6%+$113.94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+400%+$143.2
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.9%+$122.5
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100.3%+$91.64
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.32
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$36.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$60.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+43.6%+$141.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.