Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2562563c9c1455fba74ad85da6051d5d477115b6ed8f9479d138305e83c8ae72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,243,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,524,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,243,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,064 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 71c | 191,077$136,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,890.19 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 63c | 142,543$90,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,119.66 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed Yes | 70c | 85,516$60,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,375.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 70c | 75,928$53,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,770.58 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed No | 43c | 75,000$32,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,201.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 41c | 71,927$29,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,286.83 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 23c | 61,810$14,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,182.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked No | 17c | 54,000$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,205.31 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 58c | 50,001$29,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,908.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 35c | 46,649$16,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,320.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 4c | 33,300$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 78c | 32,884$25,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375.41 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…b3debacked Yes | 75c | 32,846$24,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,138.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 62c | 28,318$17,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,880.66 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 63c | 27,554$17,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,208.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 10c | 25,804$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…f043backed Yes | 70c | 24,876$17,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 31c | 22,619$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.71 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd906…e5c3backed Yes | 69c | 21,355$14,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,573.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 58c | 20,243$11,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…450abacked No | 40c | 19,560$7,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,727.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed No | 43c | 19,316$8,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,246.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 72c | 17,383$12,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…0265backed No | 40c | 16,455$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 62c | 15,202$9,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 14,787$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.47 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 70c | 14,426$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 45c | 12,671$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.08 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed No | 46c | 12,187$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed No | 26c | 11,917$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 71c | 11,447$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 39c | 11,048$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 34c | 11,019$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.07 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 64c | 10,911$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…95d3backed No | 9c | 10,697$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 68c | 10,656$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.28 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…b02cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd214…5fcdbacked Yes | 63c | 8,290$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed Yes | 73c | 8,221$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 68c | 8,022$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.9 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 56c | 8,000$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.66 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 60c | 7,792$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed No | 36c | 7,322$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…efacbacked Yes | 69c | 7,300$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…b541backed Yes | 73c | 7,000$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f246backed Yes | 67c | 6,900$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed No | 12c | 6,893$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed No | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…0ec2backed No | 18c | 5,977$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 63c | 5,898$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 5,790$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.28 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,688$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 21c | 5,555$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.55 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…7fa6backed No | 9c | 5,501$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…ac66backed Yes | 65c | 5,337$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 31c | 5,113$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed No | 13c | 5,050$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.77 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 23c | 4,939$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.02 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Yes | 79c | 4,924$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 67c | 4,770$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.77 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Yes | 73c | 4,566$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…daccbacked No | 37c | 4,562$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 43c | 4,461$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.34 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 72c | 4,231$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked No | 17c | 4,124$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 62c | 4,093$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 68c | 3,958$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.28 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed No | 14c | 3,659$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…c4e9backed Yes | 62c | 3,568$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 7c | 3,520$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,477$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…f221backed Yes | 57c | 3,432$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…f5bfbacked No | 43c | 3,412$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 3,296$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…c4eabacked No | 33c | 3,257$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 61c | 3,245$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…2763backed Yes | 61c | 3,170$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec8…2d12backed Yes | 63c | 3,140$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 14c | 3,035$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…c8f6backed Yes | 66c | 2,968$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…5464backed No | 17c | 2,960$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…ab56backed No | 34c | 2,942$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…a3d6backed No | 43c | 2,820$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…c96cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,805$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,776$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…d1c4backed No | 34c | 2,731$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…faa8backed No | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 40c | 2,500$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.01 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 13c | 2,474$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed No | 13c | 2,451$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…d500backed Yes | 68c | 2,400$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…7e51backed Yes | 63c | 2,399$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…bc7dbacked No | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…2700backed No | 43c | 2,280$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…9715backed Yes | 57c | 2,256$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…be7dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,220$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…98a6backed No | 32c | 2,206$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…821fbacked No | 32c | 2,152$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.