Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a2466c34d9a93dbef8bda91bc56005b4162666901df319bcddb063d6bd8991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,752,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,877,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,752,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 42c | 451,566$188,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262,891.2 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 16c | 128,465$20,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,132.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 10c | 101,728$10,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,665.86 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…013abacked Yes | 4c | 88,132$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,496.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,111.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 9c | 62,844$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,279.32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…ad47backed Yes | 10c | 52,670$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,192.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 16cpaid | +437.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 44,526$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,233.1 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 43,331$9,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,246.38 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4d2backed No | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…975dbacked Yes | 12c | 39,763$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,097.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +685.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 9c | 39,658$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,154.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 67c | 34,449$23,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,114.29 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 7c | 34,417$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,989.96 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 32,600$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,140.53 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 78c | 30,503$23,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,777.3 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 77c | 29,627$22,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,756.36 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…1ab7backed No | 0c | 27,950$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 5c | 26,994$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,714.42 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed Yes | 36c | 25,496$9,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,373.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…5ef7backed Yes | 10c | 25,374$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,954.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +948.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 14c | 25,042$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,611.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed Yes | 7c | 23,914$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,240.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 4c | 23,400$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,369.54 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 18c | 22,854$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,780.23 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 14c | 22,076$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,068.53 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…7181backed Yes | 12c | 21,632$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,004.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +406%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…511abacked Yes | 21c | 20,696$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,287.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +254%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…100cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…6208backed No | 77c | 19,573$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 18,797$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,766.23 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5841…cd1dbacked No | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…f19dbacked No | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 13c | 16,730$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,562.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 16,696$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,012.4 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 12c | 16,508$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,558.57 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…3f61backed Yes | 16c | 15,663$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,146.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…31c3backed No | 1c | 15,566$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 3c | 15,393$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,892.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +541.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Yes | 4c | 15,126$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,525.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +639.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed Yes | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 18c | 14,724$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,090.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…c4bebacked Yes | 25c | 14,722$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,969.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 10c | 14,551$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,042.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 13c | 14,510$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,672.97 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…5b3cbacked No | 0c | 13,581$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 2c | 12,611$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,324.35 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…0c62backed No | 79c | 12,514$9,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…fb2ebacked No | 0c | 12,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…17c7backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…bb27backed No | 0c | 11,804$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,764.71 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 5c | 11,512$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,927.36 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 11,400$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,509.45 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,313$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,282.05 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 13c | 11,069$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,639.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 18c | 11,016$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,082.3 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed No | 24c | 10,287$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.27 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…390abacked Yes | 12c | 10,240$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 1c | 10,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…1cdebacked Yes | 10c | 10,002$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,038.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…d669backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…d012backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…e727backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 7c | 9,992$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 54c | 9,383$5,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,061.92 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 3c | 9,189$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.99 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…75ffbacked Yes | 11c | 9,122$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,145.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7750backed Yes | 17c | 9,072$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,570.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 44c | 8,955$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…b4bbbacked No | 78c | 8,754$6,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,833.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 8,395$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,897.4 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 13c | 8,187$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0361…c736backed Yes | 14c | 7,940$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…f9dabacked Yes | 10c | 7,743$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +883.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…281ebacked Yes | 20c | 7,576$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 10c | 7,475$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.25 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 6c | 7,100$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 19c | 7,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked No | 71c | 6,956$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 6c | 6,939$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.4 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 12c | 6,867$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.45 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 11c | 6,525$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…ef1abacked No | 40c | 6,502$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027d…6a30backed Yes | 7c | 6,126$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +362.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 15c | 6,094$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.63 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4257…038cbacked Yes | 28c | 6,061$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…75a4backed No | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…8c85backed Yes | 17c | 5,963$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +496.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked Yes | 17c | 5,912$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Yes | 13c | 5,910$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +687.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed Yes | 41c | 5,874$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…b7e7backed Yes | 12c | 5,828$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +757%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…499bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,803$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +882.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 68c | 5,716$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…79c7backed Yes | 3c | 5,600$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 16c | 5,560$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 6c | 5,428$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.32 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…2505backed Yes | 8c | 5,427$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 5,372$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.92 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.