Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9708334534b504e2025a5a6af92f8600808c10be577e5066f920c40625fbec16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,660,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,033,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,660,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,141,098$8,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,479.54 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 2,957,745$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.74 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…694dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,704,162$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 955,722$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 800,812$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.81 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 499,997$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Yes | 0c | 468,973$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 452,317$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…9934backed Yes | 0c | 344,309$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…e5a4backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 0c | 194,085$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…8a1dbacked Yes | 0c | 166,644$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.93 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc565…0779backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…7368backed Yes | 1c | 149,077$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…cbf9backed Yes | 0c | 109,800$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 0c | 101,557$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9d…015ebacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 0c | 92,093$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…6988backed Yes | 0c | 75,299$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…d154backed Yes | 0c | 75,250$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 72,206$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…db40backed Yes | 0c | 65,791$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…e85abacked Yes | 0c | 65,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 0c | 62,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…7438backed Yes | 0c | 59,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 57,774$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fe44backed Yes | 0c | 54,455$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…6e13backed Yes | 0c | 52,381$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…054dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf5…75e5backed Yes | 0c | 49,586$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…8db2backed Yes | 0c | 43,218$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6f…2444backed Yes | 0c | 41,152$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea7…68f8backed Yes | 0c | 39,989$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…ce5fbacked Yes | 0c | 38,981$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 35,284$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…29f7backed Yes | 0c | 33,060$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2915…8fb1backed Yes | 0c | 30,965$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…1800backed Yes | 0c | 30,876$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…ad64backed Yes | 0c | 30,860$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0608…7cc2backed Yes | 1c | 30,500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…2ee1backed Yes | 0c | 30,449$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…f91fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…3c3ebacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…b722backed Yes | 0c | 29,990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 0c | 28,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6aafbacked Yes | 0c | 26,514$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…cda9backed Yes | 0c | 26,298$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a0…7301backed Yes | 0c | 25,200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…80bebacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…ba87backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…f51abacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9350…df1abacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…3d2abacked Yes | 0c | 24,750$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…5eb8backed Yes | 1c | 24,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…0200backed Yes | 0c | 23,603$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…6c5dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,105$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…3f17backed Yes | 1c | 22,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…d350backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…917fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…1a93backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44b…f081backed Yes | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8e…68ecbacked Yes | 0c | 19,906$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…2e83backed Yes | 0c | 19,867$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…f6d1backed Yes | 0c | 19,862$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…116abacked Yes | 0c | 19,553$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 0c | 19,232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf181…835dbacked Yes | 1c | 18,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…7898backed Yes | 0c | 17,859$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…7f5ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…0ceabacked Yes | 0c | 16,687$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…c095backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…928cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,638$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…5400backed Yes | 0c | 16,376$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…1b71backed Yes | 1c | 16,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…60e0backed Yes | 0c | 15,606$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…5803backed Yes | 0c | 15,020$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…8b14backed Yes | 1c | 14,560$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…454dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf35…9598backed Yes | 0c | 12,540$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…d52dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…b118backed Yes | 0c | 12,438$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…5737backed Yes | 0c | 12,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3331…8587backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 11,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…2453backed Yes | 0c | 11,245$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 1c | 11,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…afe6backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.