Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca11fd21b75f9547c1e0e65a590fb003e9d2ec9767fa82160df8591f09c6757

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,848,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,822,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,848,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes	5c	110,000$5,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,083.73	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes	1c	108,964$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.28	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	9c	78,748$6,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,982.7	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	14cpaid	-95%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	70,394$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.79	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4da…f756backed Yes	11c	70,366$7,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,751.75	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+6.7wins	+0.18per pick	12cpaid	+349.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes	1c	65,701$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.58	43	0%0 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2667backed Yes	1c	58,070$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Yes	4c	57,598$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	56,664$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.66	79	2.5%2 W · 77 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-96%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	2c	56,179$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.26	101	5.9%6 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0197…5d3fbacked Yes	2c	49,839$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.02	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	9c	45,576$4,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,018.63	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	6c	41,288$2,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,655.81	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes	3c	38,549$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.27	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+8.5wins	+0.15per pick	3cpaid	+321.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	36,877$1,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.67	678	5.9%40 W · 638 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes	7c	35,610$2,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460.64	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	35,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…39dbbacked Yes	5c	33,853$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.56	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	4c	30,406$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.73	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes	0c	29,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	136	0%0 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec5…bde2backed Yes	7c	28,481$2,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e0…a793backed Yes	15c	27,786$4,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,167.58	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	4c	27,414$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.25	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	3c	27,273$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…5175backed Yes	10c	25,138$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf103…22b7backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3df9…71d8backed Yes	0c	24,766$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	25	0%0 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes	4c	24,744$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.71	133	3.8%5 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes	2c	24,186$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.1	475	4.6%22 W · 453 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+144.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	23,569$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	80	0%0 W · 80 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes	0c	23,453$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	7c	22,453$1,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.87	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0197…5eb8backed Yes	10c	20,836$2,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,171.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	6%3 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc904…79cfbacked Yes	0c	19,782$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…a979backed Yes	4c	18,325$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.79	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2158…5400backed Yes	5c	17,653$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…12e2backed Yes	0c	17,360$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes	2c	15,562$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.11	90	4.4%4 W · 86 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5755…473cbacked Yes	5c	14,655$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.48	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	13,668$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.18	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0c…9193backed Yes	4c	12,963$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	12,220$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.43	212	5.7%12 W · 200 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	3c	11,800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.6	183	15.3%28 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	11,754$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	149	0.7%1 W · 148 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	11,739$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.48	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb751…b372backed Yes	11c	11,455$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf445…1f8abacked Yes	1c	10,700$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes	5c	10,659$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	5c	10,646$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.81	85	5.9%5 W · 80 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…9236backed Yes	7c	10,613$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f5…14c1backed Yes	10c	10,410$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes	11c	10,164$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.13	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes	5c	10,146$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.09	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e4…e12cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes	1c	9,912$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.46	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-63%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d6…29f7backed Yes	4c	9,884$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.66	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0379backed Yes	11c	8,817$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	7c	8,452$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.29	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe58e…afc3backed Yes	1c	8,195$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee3b…657cbacked Yes	1c	8,059$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes	1c	8,010$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd980…5be0backed Yes	4c	7,895$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	112	10.7%12 W · 100 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+120.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes	11c	7,567$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.6	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ab…a5a3backed Yes	1c	7,127$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea4…61c0backed Yes	4c	7,040$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.72	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7a…abb7backed Yes	3c	7,014$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes	3c	6,976$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.59	399	8.5%34 W · 365 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	7c	6,699$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.45	149	9.4%14 W · 135 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	6,347$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.97	63	6.3%4 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	4c	6,291$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.66	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0b…72e0backed Yes	8c	6,287$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5845…c328backed Yes	5c	6,184$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes	9c	6,167$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes	4c	5,976$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce9b…83e6backed Yes	10c	5,934$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.27	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf1…7e8ebacked Yes	12c	5,845$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b91…e572backed Yes	6c	5,750$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.51	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes	7c	5,720$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.23	143	37.1%53 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x430a…ff11backed Yes	8c	5,657$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.17	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	5c	5,564$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.94	146	3.4%5 W · 141 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes	1c	5,395$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b28…a701backed Yes	9c	5,360$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…9449backed Yes	5c	5,336$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a0…46b2backed Yes	2c	5,046$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…c965backed Yes	2c	5,046$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ea…3793backed Yes	4c	5,033$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1f…61b4backed Yes	4c	5,007$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb43c…29c4backed Yes	3c	5,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50f1…5222backed Yes	4c	4,916$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fed…981cbacked Yes	1c	4,902$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2c…a9f3backed Yes	5c	4,882$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.51	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x716b…e163backed Yes	2c	4,850$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	1c	4,791$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	6c	4,616$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.84	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a8…9f9abacked Yes	5c	4,432$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.04	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Yes	4c	4,400$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.8	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	5c	4,259$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.14	107	3.7%4 W · 103 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes	9c	4,030$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.6	140	19.3%27 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event