Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615fa45b6d689d701c549190f9f3b0908ee58440ae3726fbfb62bbd7c5143693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,218,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,347,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,218,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 427,020$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.57 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 149,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 112,173$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.73 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 57,717$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 57,626$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 39,460$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 1c | 30,491$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 30,079$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 1c | 25,556$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a71…a5adbacked Yes | 0c | 23,800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…9171backed Yes | 1c | 20,482$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2a2bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc565…0779backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…7b78backed Yes | 1c | 19,483$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…5ed6backed Yes | 0c | 15,508$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 0c | 15,305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…6d76backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 6cpaid | +1,441.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…35b7backed Yes | 1c | 14,328$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,044$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fe44backed Yes | 1c | 14,040$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 12,898$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…054dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,641$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,379$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…9a51backed Yes | 1c | 11,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…64cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,333$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…fe8fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3331…8587backed Yes | 1c | 10,089$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…04adbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…bda4backed Yes | 1c | 9,706$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…e6bfbacked Yes | 1c | 9,682$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 9,058$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…454dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,695$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…7e85backed Yes | 1c | 8,361$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b4…2286backed Yes | 1c | 8,239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec84…f08abacked Yes | 0c | 8,091$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3e…75edbacked Yes | 1c | 8,043$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…53f7backed Yes | 1c | 7,455$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…aefebacked Yes | 1c | 7,227$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 1c | 7,222$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…8db2backed Yes | 1c | 7,195$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…708cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…f043backed Yes | 1c | 6,857$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…7062backed Yes | 1c | 6,707$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…3793backed Yes | 1c | 6,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…63b2backed Yes | 0c | 6,095$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cb3fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…6e13backed Yes | 0c | 5,962$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…0f4abacked Yes | 1c | 5,910$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 5,849$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…8db9backed Yes | 1c | 5,714$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 1c | 5,124$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…13ffbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…1684backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 4,801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…059abacked Yes | 1c | 4,776$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…2bddbacked Yes | 1c | 4,776$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 1c | 4,413$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,385$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bd…e484backed Yes | 1c | 4,311$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…0ce4backed Yes | 1c | 4,248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…f4b4backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 4,097$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…8234backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…65d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,886$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…d9e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,742$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…a184backed Yes | 0c | 3,727$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…6293backed Yes | 1c | 3,683$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…58fbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,556$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,520$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 2c | 3,503$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…460ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…3689backed Yes | 1c | 3,288$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…9341backed Yes | 1c | 3,268$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…7f3dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…20b6backed Yes | 1c | 3,167$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…25f0backed Yes | 2c | 3,097$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…b329backed Yes | 1c | 3,081$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,880$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2514…b927backed Yes | 1c | 2,723$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…f637backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…3be0backed Yes | 1c | 2,626$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 1c | 2,625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 2,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…b119backed Yes | 1c | 2,590$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 1c | 2,556$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b9…337dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,532$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…899ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 2,407$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…09f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,376$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…ec82backed Yes | 1c | 2,375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…4086backed Yes | 1c | 2,364$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…c4a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,286$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e9…c77bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…9709backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.