Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ebb5f5533f364893e9267876210c62660b876c3176bb5fa725e06646c507194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,135,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,718,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,135,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 1c | 82,163$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.33 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 79,999$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 1c | 64,544$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 1c | 62,203$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.88 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 0c | 56,287$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 1c | 54,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…01ebbacked Yes | 1c | 47,574$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 1c | 43,182$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.41 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 1c | 42,093$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.34 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 0c | 38,572$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,775$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 29,457$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 0c | 26,763$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 24,991$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…8759backed Yes | 1c | 23,887$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…bee3backed Yes | 1c | 23,545$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +255.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 23,290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaefd…24d1backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…d446backed Yes | 0c | 18,729$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 16,868$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…97b7backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +269.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,457$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,188$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,054$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…92f0backed Yes | 0c | 15,833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…182bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,367$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 0c | 14,122$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,312$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…b28bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…8e5abacked Yes | 1c | 11,674$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,228$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 1c | 10,655$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 10,133$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…97b1backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,920$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 1c | 8,767$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 0c | 8,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,569$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…6d83backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…40e7backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…bdc7backed Yes | 1c | 6,932$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…895bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +365.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 0c | 6,480$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 6,352$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 0c | 5,855$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 5,540$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 1c | 5,420$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…807cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,203$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,162$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,033$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…a35ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,806$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 2c | 4,722$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 2c | 4,270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…5edfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,970$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +394.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 3,911$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…6ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,831$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…1e99backed Yes | 1c | 3,683$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +351.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,676$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +406%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9af6backed Yes | 0c | 3,611$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…f5dcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 1cpaid | +2,154.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…d5aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 1c | 3,120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 25cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,024$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 1c | 2,993$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,917$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,637$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 2,552$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…a174backed Yes | 1c | 2,146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…655ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…7e69backed Yes | 1c | 1,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…164ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,932$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…60d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,907$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…8635backed Yes | 1c | 1,771$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…fec7backed Yes | 1c | 1,763$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe820…9f12backed Yes | 1c | 1,677$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,466$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…743fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,359$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,343$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbede…8f98backed Yes | 1c | 1,269$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…af50backed Yes | 2c | 1,090$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,013$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…ce65backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…7b31backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Yes | 1c | 903.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…d88cbacked Yes | 1c | 900.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.