Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdddfa2562bb9eb994c6d0a6e02f086f3ae821db1e00c58cb515ccb07052679e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,349,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,564,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,349,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 414,346$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.86 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes | 2c | 209,746$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 134,722$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.16 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 2c | 100,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…74babacked Yes | 2c | 84,537$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…aba5backed Yes | 1c | 80,758$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 2c | 77,288$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.19 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 70,700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.06 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,663$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 50,788$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.75 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 41,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.85 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 39,664$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.47 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 37,830$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…3d35backed Yes | 2c | 29,048$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 28,950$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…9193backed Yes | 1c | 28,216$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…0fc7backed Yes | 1c | 27,657$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 25,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…de6dbacked Yes | 3c | 23,100$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…759abacked Yes | 0c | 22,531$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 21,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.39 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 2c | 19,282$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…f475backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…0f4abacked Yes | 0c | 14,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…df81backed Yes | 2c | 14,248$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 2c | 14,085$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,495$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 13,235$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…5d3fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,859$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2a2bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,309$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…a9f3backed Yes | 1c | 10,260$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,236$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…e710backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…93ccbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,417$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…4a2abacked Yes | 1c | 9,029$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…9b02backed Yes | 1c | 8,445$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…7e85backed Yes | 1c | 8,200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 7,964$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…df92backed Yes | 1c | 7,746$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 1c | 7,513$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…53dabacked Yes | 0c | 7,217$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…6e13backed Yes | 2c | 6,964$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 1c | 6,910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…d962backed Yes | 1c | 6,899$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…054dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,686$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 6,464$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…ec70backed Yes | 3c | 6,357$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 3c | 6,127$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 2c | 5,993$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,977$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…4eeebacked Yes | 2c | 5,861$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,797$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +510%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…f043backed Yes | 1c | 5,714$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 1c | 5,532$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed Yes | 1c | 5,522$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…5e72backed Yes | 1c | 5,440$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…14f0backed Yes | 2c | 5,358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…bc32backed Yes | 2c | 5,321$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,281$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…de43backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…af6dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,892$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 1c | 4,875$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…e72bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,768$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…3f17backed Yes | 2c | 4,762$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,734$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…c1f9backed Yes | 2c | 4,582$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 1c | 4,438$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…a298backed Yes | 1c | 4,185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6c…0ab7backed Yes | 1c | 4,182$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…90e6backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 4,052$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…9924backed Yes | 1c | 4,026$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…489bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…7438backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…54d1backed Yes | 3c | 3,983$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 3,939$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes | 1c | 3,922$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…e163backed Yes | 1c | 3,715$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed Yes | 1c | 3,646$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…ea49backed Yes | 2c | 3,541$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 2c | 3,375$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,372$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…9471backed Yes | 1c | 3,351$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 3,332$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 3,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…cf2bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…8e5abacked Yes | 2c | 3,044$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…fb0abacked Yes | 1c | 2,988$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…e360backed Yes | 2c | 2,960$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,881$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…9a51backed Yes | 1c | 2,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in January?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.