TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07e7…a343

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.24
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.57
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$114.5
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.67
Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.79
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.46
Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,225
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,283.59
Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$889.59
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$884
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29,483.02
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$239.25
Will Pacers vs. Nuggets be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.08
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$38,382.43
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,138.6
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$6,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,084.17
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.48
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,968.54
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$308
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,536.84
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45,186.98
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$115.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,684.38
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.45
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$52,324.73
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,197.92
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26,084.97
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,431.58
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,153.43
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,961.69
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+647.3%+$679.95
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$33.27
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.68
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37.23
Will Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+55.3%+$16.73
Will Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$25.96
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.63
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$18.09
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.17
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.64
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.22
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.9
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,474.94
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,317.06
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.07
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$132.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+48.6%+$56.55
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$35.37
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.16
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$327.19
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$9,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,999.23
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,592.84
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140.14
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$601.05
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$481.86
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$9,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$9,557.26
Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$324.5
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,544.87
Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$360.26
Will the match between Celtic and Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.98
Will Celtic beat Young Boys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$61.13
Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,486.29
Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,057.76
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-93.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$41.06
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.72
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.19
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.13
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.19
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.73
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,494.85
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,127.3
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,214.99
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.15
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,327.99
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$807.82
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$908.28
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$830.54
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,103.22
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.53
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$759.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-76.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.82
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$296.72
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$268.84
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.38
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-80.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-78.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$243.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+152.7%+$338.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.75–4.00 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Trump FDV be $15-20b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs B8 (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.