TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,029,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,400,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,029,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c1,095,898$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.89392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x658c…0625backed Yes1c909,913$6,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,369.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9980…4da1backed Yes1c907,194$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,350.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff8…d2cebacked Yes1c887,720$6,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,214.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578b…19abbacked Yes1c883,932$6,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,187.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…d967backed Yes1c799,222$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6fe…8011backed Yes1c777,019$5,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,439.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c290,597$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.99130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a96…5cb0backed Yes1c261,735$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c246,374$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.49230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4c…7a8dbacked Yes1c244,286$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c115,557$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.76440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c88,788$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.83116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c4…f5f3backed Yes0c67,911$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcc…d08abacked Yes0c67,911$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c66,999$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.99140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec8…6360backed Yes0c66,200$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c61,798$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c57,351$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.65530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3547…ba0abacked Yes0c56,964$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c56,008$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.04313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086a…8bf7backed Yes0c54,750$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…2185backed Yes1c48,620$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff64…c395backed Yes1c48,620$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76a…117ebacked Yes1c47,135$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…3076backed Yes1c47,135$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fab…95cbbacked Yes1c47,135$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe914…66afbacked Yes0c45,118$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8439…432abacked Yes0c44,360$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2c…0320backed Yes1c42,850$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab6…fc35backed Yes1c42,850$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa153…0bf0backed Yes1c42,850$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3243…91e6backed Yes1c38,565$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…be51backed Yes0c38,516$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb117…e865backed Yes1c34,280$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c32,664$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.663225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60f…8c32backed Yes1c19,887$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e29…f456backed Yes1c19,845$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc8…d8ecbacked Yes1c19,824$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda76…285bbacked Yes1c19,823$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a23…0b5bbacked Yes1c19,821$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe1…3920backed Yes1c19,802$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2180…01d6backed Yes1c19,782$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…71d0backed Yes1c19,777$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f64…d5ccbacked Yes1c19,758$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdef…fff3backed Yes1c19,749$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d4…d7b1backed Yes1c19,747$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…1d01backed Yes1c19,691$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e75…f8a9backed Yes1c19,690$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20d…5566backed Yes1c19,681$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe2…dadcbacked Yes1c19,678$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1706…4727backed Yes1c19,662$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ff…84abbacked Yes1c19,648$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa571…9371backed Yes1c19,633$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe6…4629backed Yes1c19,588$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…8cfcbacked Yes1c19,579$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ed…ad14backed Yes1c19,521$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa9…d1b7backed Yes1c19,508$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0e…fe01backed Yes1c19,505$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…c15fbacked Yes1c19,477$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…a416backed Yes1c19,456$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…e491backed Yes1c19,420$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…c49dbacked Yes1c19,347$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9f…a30cbacked Yes1c19,274$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f16…2b77backed Yes1c19,216$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc96b…e968backed Yes1c19,141$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52b…7392backed Yes1c19,124$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1855…e483backed Yes1c19,113$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…b1e3backed Yes1c19,107$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…1db3backed Yes1c19,106$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b5…5e84backed Yes1c19,086$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3096…76b6backed Yes1c19,074$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…251fbacked Yes1c19,069$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc9…b854backed Yes1c19,054$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b8…6ab7backed Yes1c19,052$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476a…71f2backed Yes1c19,035$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a9…4baabacked Yes1c19,011$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…a8b6backed Yes1c18,994$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…0e9dbacked Yes1c18,968$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4179…98ecbacked Yes1c18,959$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…dfdfbacked Yes1c18,954$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9f…8efbbacked Yes1c18,929$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…47e5backed Yes1c18,911$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb18…bde3backed Yes1c18,902$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5b…9477backed Yes1c18,884$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba7e…8e79backed Yes1c18,828$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb88…66fcbacked Yes1c18,776$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd1…5e53backed Yes1c18,776$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd1…748ebacked Yes1c18,764$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6629…0c8fbacked Yes1c18,760$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe440…1dbdbacked Yes1c18,736$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b86…9c57backed Yes1c18,736$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb324…7a0cbacked Yes1c18,721$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5d…87bfbacked Yes1c18,716$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a02…dd04backed Yes1c18,715$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…429abacked Yes1c18,707$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…a242backed Yes1c18,650$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f56…4cfdbacked Yes1c18,637$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b2…8b29backed Yes1c18,631$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12db…86efbacked Yes1c18,611$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.