NHL · resolved market

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded5e3aac89222e48578b1f7a2ef39a61d18017d5c5c709701ba2ae5d5ddfbc9

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,158,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $953,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,158,576 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Yes	8c	90,375$7,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,227.86	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	9c	65,000$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,850	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe118…cba3backed Yes	9c	61,552$5,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,827	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa870…630abacked Yes	10c	55,000$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,610	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa023…4d28backed Yes	10c	55,000$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…99a4backed Yes	8c	54,000$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	5c	36,094$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760.04	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa9…aab1backed Yes	9c	28,621$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	10c	22,135$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.11	154	31.8%49 W · 105 L	-12.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb0a…cc66backed Yes	10c	21,317$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	11c	19,797$2,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240.6	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes	9c	10,770$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.53	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-65%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40f…333ebacked Yes	12c	10,001$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes	5c	8,019$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.97	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	6c	7,433$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	181	36.5%66 W · 115 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	11c	7,205$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.59	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	5c	5,577$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.81	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes	11c	5,485$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes	13c	5,225$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.48	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes	8c	5,037$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.22	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	8c	4,804$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.28	265	47.5%126 W · 139 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ad…344cbacked Yes	11c	4,600$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	5c	3,701$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.11	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Yes	8c	3,494$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.31	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30e…df18backed Yes	9c	3,450$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.5	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes	10c	2,881$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Yes	7c	2,857$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	231	40.3%93 W · 138 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes	11c	2,695$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…8477backed Yes	5c	2,662$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e95…d070backed Yes	12c	2,589$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c5…a562backed Yes	6c	2,371$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.29	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-61%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes	11c	1,893$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes	5c	1,873$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.67	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Yes	11c	1,811$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.57	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes	7c	1,800$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes	11c	1,757$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	11c	1,720$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.8	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	9c	1,672$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.15	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	41cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	12c	1,666$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.99	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes	8c	1,255$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.28	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1885…eb78backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Yes	9c	1,180$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.2	117	47%55 W · 62 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	6c	1,169$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.16	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	10c	1,120$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.8	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	4c	1,100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	338	37.9%128 W · 210 L	-14.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes	11c	1,075$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.84	317	44.2%140 W · 177 L	+14.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc8…c588backed Yes	11c	1,068$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes	10c	1,007$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.09	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Yes	6c	1,004$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.21	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c6…bbc3backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes	9c	1,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	293	19.8%58 W · 235 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes	6c	867.41$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…53c9backed Yes	6c	860.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.63	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Yes	10c	750$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…6704backed Yes	9c	641.33$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80bc…22ffbacked Yes	7c	524.14$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes	9c	505$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac52…3db9backed Yes	5c	500.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	600	42.8%257 W · 343 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes	9c	499.98$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd516…45edbacked Yes	10c	460$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	434$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.45	607	41%249 W · 358 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…83a2backed Yes	7c	428.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	5c	399.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ded…466fbacked Yes	8c	399.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c4…c441backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…5d43backed Yes	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	28cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes	10c	348.27$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc039…e6a0backed Yes	12c	338.58$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…ef28backed Yes	6c	333.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	7c	333.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	913	34.1%311 W · 602 L	-27.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda14…20f7backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	764	50.4%385 W · 379 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b67…d01fbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf8…d63bbacked Yes	6c	249.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e4…430abacked Yes	6c	249.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	10c	247.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf23…3600backed Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	8c	208$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8938…f801backed Yes	8c	205.59$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…45e5backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…231bbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes	11c	199.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac46…ca4abacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc166…2ad5backed Yes	12c	171.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31d0…9d21backed Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	7c	161.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ba…9f75backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe199…56a2backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf44a…a6e9backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	9cpaid	+367.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b29…aeb3backed Yes	14c	122.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes	11c	118.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Yes	9c	116.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event