TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,460,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,769,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,460,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b41…e0d3backed Yes11c653,083$72,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,811.0124457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e0…e809backed Yes6c113,776$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,080.330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes0c87,718$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.721,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0a…d67abacked Yes11c56,000$6,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17dd…9395backed Yes11c56,000$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,32810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f87…c47dbacked Yes11c56,000$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,32810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b3…2b41backed Yes11c55,000$5,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,77510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a7…3693backed Yes11c55,000$5,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,77510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…ade3backed Yes10c55,000$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,66510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598c…503cbacked Yes9c55,000$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,17010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e5…fce7backed Yes9c55,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfb…60adbacked Yes10c55,000$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,66510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…4677backed Yes9c55,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170e…6ea7backed Yes8c54,000$4,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,37410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cf…7c2ebacked Yes8c54,000$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a61…f6c0backed Yes8c54,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfd…a212backed Yes8c54,000$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2e…49b7backed Yes8c54,000$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb55…3aedbacked Yes8c54,000$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ae…9359backed Yes7c54,000$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,88810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7367…f53cbacked Yes8c54,000$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,53610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125b…f431backed Yes8c54,000$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,21210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x570b…7229backed Yes8c54,000$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,53610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7744…4c5dbacked Yes8c54,000$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87c…8a1bbacked Yes8c54,000$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…c874backed Yes8c54,000$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0339…8b59backed Yes7c53,500$3,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes3c45,664$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.277532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes6c42,354$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.37313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes8c38,545$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.8215431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes9c30,724$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.942934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes8c30,280$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.0238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes7c21,135$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.0316554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes8c16,019$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.39234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-91.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…4c52backed Yes13c13,599$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Yes8c12,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes8c12,000$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.68911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes3c11,612$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes7c10,000$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x19d5…2d5cbacked Yes8c9,975$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes12c8,101$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes13c7,939$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.1130551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes10c7,192$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.611010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes9c6,951$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8138445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fd…1e2dbacked Yes9c6,752$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes11c6,613$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.621442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes14c6,500$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.71811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Yes10c5,869$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.92927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes13c5,712$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,514$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.822516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes5c4,937$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes10c4,595$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1911441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0930…0d60backed Yes8c4,565$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes9c4,334$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.83185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes7c4,153$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…64fabacked Yes7c4,020$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc9…2c38backed Yes8c3,857$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-90.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes6c3,853$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.22230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes8c3,616$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.37180%0 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Yes13c3,598$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd637…1017backed Yes5c3,591$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8790%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…42c1backed Yes8c3,486$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7d…8a55backed Yes7c3,297$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes5c3,131$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes10c2,862$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.462236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes7c2,585$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes3c2,537$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes7c2,533$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7331744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c2,492$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9160741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x083a…c64dbacked Yes5c2,468$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes7c2,320$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc8…c588backed Yes9c2,263$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes8c2,250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.11128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-79.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ba…5272backed Yes6c2,110$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes12c2,098$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8326547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…cf93backed Yes15c2,032$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd311…82d5backed Yes7c2,028$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-67.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes6c2,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes13c1,942$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes4c1,920$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5f…9761backed Yes6c1,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7238…cbc1backed Yes3c1,861$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes10c1,832$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.331625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2247…52d1backed Yes8c1,828$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a1…d158backed Yes7c1,818$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.28812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes6c1,781$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.726126.2%16 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes6c1,751$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffda…1e18backed Yes10c1,700$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f1…7b16backed Yes4c1,473$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes6c1,450$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9849546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes4c1,421$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd688…b771backed Yes6c1,406$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5435backed Yes6c1,406$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3efd…6938backed Yes6c1,406$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684d…156ebacked Yes6c1,400$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccd…855dbacked Yes6c1,400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbf…350ebacked Yes5c1,400$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5003…a70cbacked Yes6c1,400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b3…03c7backed Yes5c1,400$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f9…65b3backed Yes6c1,400$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.