TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf144…4c52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 52°F or higher on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+46.3%+$138.93
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 52°F or higher on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$287.58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+68.2%+$68.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+65%+$9.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 38-39°F on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 40°F or higher on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$15.09
Baez vs. Droguet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,075Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$4,500.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Monacobacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$12.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla dip to $360 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,790.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.