South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b50b18555b09ce77aeaa628a5fa616df8f10b1587b6b4a9bd5177ea13c096a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 2,709$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,167$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 4c | 994.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 32c | 478.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 11c | 415.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 74c | 363.6$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 32c | 325.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Over | 30c | 306.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 303.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 20c | 261.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 257.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.87 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Over | 21c | 217.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 25c | 188.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 24c | 147.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 140.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…64febacked Under | 80c | 123.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 102.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 13c | 102.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Over | 28c | 67.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 69c | 62.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4c52backed Under | 80c | 61.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 52.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 78c | 49.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…2749backed Under | 76c | 41.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 72c | 26.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 72c | 18.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 77c | 18.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.