South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aeee8be1ffeea2b95559bfa425d69b852aeab0fd5d12640b11f312beede93fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 67c | 1,481$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.35 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,372$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 68c | 1,090$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.93 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 525.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 449.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 409.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 6c | 270.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 238.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 150.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 140.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 69c | 105.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 81.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 30c | 75.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 67c | 42.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 77c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 69c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.