South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa729855a42ef979243bf91d3e7822d73834c491f3e370e1b469b35b861e0987c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 60c | 9,847$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.47 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 4,548$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 40c | 3,819$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.42 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 38c | 3,289$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 41c | 1,554$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,095$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 871$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…c9c5backed Over | 62c | 786.32$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 59c | 770.2$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.89 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 69c | 568.25$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 63c | 511.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 56c | 474.58$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 68c | 459.75$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 441.12$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 424.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 61c | 388.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…44d4backed Over | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 327.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 63c | 263.86$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 57c | 263.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 60c | 244.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 40c | 211.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 199.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 40c | 198$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Over | 38c | 192.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 40c | 190$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 30c | 180.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 156.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 39c | 130.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 40c | 130.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 47c | 128.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Over | 56c | 106.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 47c | 104.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 40c | 102.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 63c | 101.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 81.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 56c | 77.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 30c | 76.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 55c | 76.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 66.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 43c | 66.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Over | 40c | 59.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 60c | 58.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 61c | 56.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 40c | 55.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 72c | 54.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 40c | 50.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 40c | 50.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 40c | 50.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 40c | 44.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 34.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 38c | 33.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 61c | 33.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…2749backed Under | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under | 61c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Under | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.