South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b6043a9af0f60314e7fd4ebd4e1d9f07834807b32d40068a75ff3d1d8ea0d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluminense FCof Fluminense FC, SC Corinthians Paulista
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb683…b8f7backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 72c | 477.48$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…9a62backed Fluminense FC | 28c | 471.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Fluminense FC | 26c | 355.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 25c | 332.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 71c | 248.78$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…82dcbacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 75c | 241.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…32f9backed Fluminense FC | 25c | 238.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fluminense FC | 29c | 198.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Fluminense FC | 75c | 183.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 63c | 149.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Fluminense FC | 75c | 144.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fluminense FC | 25c | 117.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Fluminense FC | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluminense FC | 37c | 99.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Fluminense FC | 27c | 72.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 75c | 57.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Fluminense FC | 40c | 50.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 73c | 44.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 73c | 42.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fluminense FC | 50c | 38.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 74c | 27.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 75c | 23.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Fluminense FC | 70c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)this page
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.