TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x622e…1a89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$83.09
Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.75
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$35.45
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.71
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+106%+$48.3
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.25
Mirassol FC vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Barcelona SC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$50.76
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.09
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.27
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.57
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.74
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$65.83
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+224.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$49.79
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.49
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$53.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$8.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.