South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95037473184a4bd5dc23e47c0e04cc1e71f2faa8c22cd3f5ba087317be52f326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 38c | 5,591$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.38 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,674$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 3,813$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.26 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 3,797$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 1,405$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,070$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 751.01$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 65c | 509.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 484.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 28c | 477.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 440.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 433.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 62c | 219.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 59c | 214.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 62c | 174.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…db07backed Under | 38c | 152.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 33c | 147.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 33c | 144.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…32eabacked Over | 66c | 144.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 66c | 143.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 31c | 140.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 31c | 138.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 29c | 135.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 58c | 115.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 26c | 112.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 74.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 33c | 74.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 33c | 74.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 33c | 74.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 33c | 74.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 33c | 74.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 29c | 67.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 29c | 67.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…36cdbacked Over | 67c | 57.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 66c | 49.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 35c | 48.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 27c | 39.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Under | 68c | 37.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 43c | 34.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 39c | 25.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 76c | 20.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Over | 72c | 19.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5this page
- CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)América de Cali won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.