TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5677…2ce9backed Over57c7,776$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.592759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over62c5,483$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.871650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c2,172$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.255,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,840$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.468,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over59c1,785$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.479562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under37c1,717$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c1,260$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.411,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c1,247$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.132,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under51c1,140$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.532962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under40c964$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.46753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c469.18$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9772350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c445.68$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under43c429.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under43c429.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under43c429.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under43c423.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under43c423.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under43c423.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6512361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c419.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c419.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under43c419.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over59c332.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.082572%18 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under38c322$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under43c296.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under43c233.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0717857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c218.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.081,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under43c213.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8444959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under43c213.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8415654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c208.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.423,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1169545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c197.56$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.082,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under37c173.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Over64c158.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.753748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over61c156.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over65c156.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.822433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.843073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Under41c142.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7318140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120d…5a76backed Under40c142.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c141.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.222,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under44c140.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7210964.2%70 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under43c140.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8512259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under39c124.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.761,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Under68c121.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under44c110.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.569831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe56d…361abacked Over56c105.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under65c104.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.651681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a98…9b27backed Over44c102.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c97.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7931355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under43c88.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.332138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fb…36cdbacked Over55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7570…0b56backed Over78c86.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under51c82.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.649457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over42c68.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under40c66.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over51c65.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.096544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c61.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1233658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under44c57.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.578047.5%38 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.018851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…70bbbacked Over70c56.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb70…e2dcbacked Under56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Under50c51.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.72095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over62c50.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2844939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Under38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over54c48.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.215957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under41c47.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9420059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under56c47.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8622145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over58c45.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over67c44.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.998647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under44c35.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.853638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over58c33.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.661,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over61c33.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Over63c30.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Over53c27.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.392356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under53c20.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.694965.3%32 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7780…c0ddbacked Over57c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over59c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.792842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Over71c19.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over63c19.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.163360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d2…ec2fbacked Over64c18.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf55…92a2backed Over55c18.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.