TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fb1…9cbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT11558.3%67 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$17.3
Lincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Sheppbacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.1
Newport: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Anna Rogersbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Guido Justobacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$9.05
Trieste: Maxim Mrva vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$13.28
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Contrexeville: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.21
ITF Kayseri: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Matias Reyniakbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$5.19
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
ITF Rabat: Florian Broska vs Reda Bennanibacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$6.55
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$20.2
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$20.7
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
ITF Kamen: Josy Daems vs Valentina Ivanovbacked Valentina Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$2.62
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Mathys Picardbacked Mathys Picard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.26
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Fiona Crawleybacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymerbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.46
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmanebacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanekbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$13.45
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Adelina Lachinovabacked Julia Adams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$69.8
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$20.09
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$11.52
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$16.08
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.26
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.19
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$6.61
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$43.6
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+102%+$20.2
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$79.5
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+34%+$12.7
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$4.03
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$59.69
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$25.27
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$29.63
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$74.81
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.47
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.27
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$7.45
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42%+$5.88
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$61.54
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$12.95
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$9.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$8.08
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.63
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$101.23
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$23.6
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48%+$17.56
Counter-Strike: Sakura Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Reign Above · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$6.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.