Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Adelina Lachinova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3655d6b37bb76c838d5f44811040c30bfd2c5e974793e1610bf7a76d2b8686d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Adamsof Julia Adams, Adelina Lachinova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Adelina Lachinova | 59c | 5,665$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Julia Adams | 35c | 2,387$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.85 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Adams | 55c | 1,843$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julia Adams | 44c | 1,759$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.26 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julia Adams | 43c | 654.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adelina Lachinova | 64c | 521.69$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Julia Adams | 53c | 496.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…c269backed Adelina Lachinova | 18c | 342.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Julia Adams | 48c | 340.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Julia Adams | 46c | 308.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Julia Adams | 46c | 252.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Julia Adams | 32c | 239.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Adelina Lachinova | 64c | 238$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Adelina Lachinova | 61c | 175.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Adelina Lachinova | 52c | 174.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julia Adams | 30c | 128.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Adelina Lachinova | 65c | 128.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Adelina Lachinova | 66c | 124.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Adelina Lachinova | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Julia Adams | 26c | 95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Adelina Lachinova | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Adelina Lachinova | 69c | 88.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Adelina Lachinova | 64c | 65.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Adelina Lachinova | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Adelina Lachinova | 49c | 61.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Adelina Lachinova | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Adelina Lachinova | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Adelina Lachinova | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Julia Adams | 49c | 44.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Julia Adams | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Adelina Lachinova | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Adelina Lachinova | 53c | 38.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Adelina Lachinova | 66c | 36.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Adelina Lachinova | 55c | 30.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Adelina Lachinova | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Julia Adams | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Julia Adams | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Adelina Lachinova | 39c | 26.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Adelina Lachinova | 62c | 26.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Julia Adams | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Adelina Lachinova | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Adelina Lachinova | 72c | 19.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.