Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kamen: Josy Daems vs Valentina Ivanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9addcf230f05cb2388e992e87dd46a00aaa07ef89f37b3fab5cf85f9b14e4f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Ivanovof Josy Daems, Valentina Ivanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Josy Daems | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Josy Daems | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Josy Daems | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Josy Daems | 5c | 445$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Valentina Ivanov | 70c | 432.71$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Josy Daems | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Josy Daems | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…8d71backed Josy Daems | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Josy Daems | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentina Ivanov | 35c | 160.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Josy Daems | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Josy Daems | 14c | 111.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Josy Daems | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Josy Daems | 58c | 103.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Josy Daems | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Josy Daems | 39c | 93.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Josy Daems | 40c | 89.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Josy Daems | 70c | 88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Josy Daems | 24c | 82.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Josy Daems | 26c | 82.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Valentina Ivanov | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Josy Daems | 57c | 75.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Valentina Ivanov | 50c | 66.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Josy Daems | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Josy Daems | 37c | 61.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Valentina Ivanov | 48c | 61.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Josy Daems | 40c | 60.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Valentina Ivanov | 50c | 60.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Josy Daems | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Josy Daems | 44c | 56.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Josy Daems | 40c | 56.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Josy Daems | 45c | 49.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Valentina Ivanov | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Valentina Ivanov | 49c | 36.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Josy Daems | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Valentina Ivanov | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Valentina Ivanov | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Josy Daems | 50c | 27.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Josy Daems | 59c | 22.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valentina Ivanov | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Valentina Ivanov | 77c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Valentina Ivanov | 80c | 12.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.