TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x500e…6118

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT23965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 239 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Priska Nugrohobacked Priska Nugroho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$52.05
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$42.68
Augsburg: Calvin Hemery vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.16
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$107.18
ITF Astana: Nina Sozaonova vs Sandugash Kenzhibayevabacked Nina Sozaonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Astana: Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Shruti Ahlawatbacked Shruti Ahlawat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swedish Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$125.78
Athens Open: Magda Linette vs Mai Hontamabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romanobacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Rio Claro: Marjorie Souza vs Oceane Babelbacked Oceane Babel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$88.27
Iasi Open, Qualification: Irina Fetecau vs Tatiana Pieribacked Tatiana Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
Iasi Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Ilinca Amarieibacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
ITF Astana: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$42.21
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Newport: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloneybacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$38
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$127.84
Iasi: Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 239 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.95
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$83.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$73.55
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$38.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Canada to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+97%+$67.93
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$42.09
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Winter Bear (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked Winter Bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.