Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd43884cc28d7565b42114aa95dd5b3e6be1be44e1f43d51b1dbd6efb6ffea3e6

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,166,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,166,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No	42c	225,689$94,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131,398.18	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes	61c	200,000$122,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121,999.97	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes	1c	183,334$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.34	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	39c	166,683$65,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,676.71	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	57c	125,700$72,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,166.22	404	47.3%191 W · 213 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	61c	85,303$52,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,434.52	481	44.1%212 W · 269 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	40c	75,597$30,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,358.36	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes	61c	70,185$42,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,635.43	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	52c	57,150$29,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,352.46	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	39c	32,837$12,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,870.3	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	58c	30,633$17,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,773.3	969	42.3%410 W · 559 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes	59c	29,661$17,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,500	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes	10c	23,189$2,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,263.9	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	40c	21,552$8,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,925.59	687	50.8%349 W · 338 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No	41c	20,574$8,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,193.1	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes	58c	19,622$11,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,340.6	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes	0c	18,691$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes	1c	18,316$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.7	56	5.4%3 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+97.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes	60c	18,187$10,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,904.34	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No	41c	15,727$6,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,241.05	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No	40c	15,605$6,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,356.81	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes	0c	15,150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	60c	14,597$8,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,752.45	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes	61c	12,000$7,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,320	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No	41c	10,938$4,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,460.34	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes	60c	10,000$5,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,975.48	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	39c	9,500$3,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,795	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	38c	7,597$2,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,710	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes	58c	7,304$4,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,236.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	58c	7,000$4,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,030	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No	38c	7,000$2,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,340	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes	53c	6,800$3,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,603.99	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No	42c	6,169$2,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,578.02	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.99	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No	41c	5,900$2,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,480.89	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes	0c	5,896$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes	60c	5,607$3,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,364.2	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes	47c	5,319$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-5.8wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	39c	5,300$2,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,233	455	47%214 W · 241 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Yes	62c	5,190$3,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,218	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes	61c	4,730$2,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,885.3	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	59c	4,300$2,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,537	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes	57c	4,230$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No	41c	4,128$1,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,418.32	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes	59c	4,000$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	60c	3,942$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,364.54	346	43.4%150 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No	40c	3,750$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	56c	3,469$1,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.43	498	50.6%252 W · 246 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	59c	3,390$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	102	59.8%61 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No	41c	3,385$1,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,996.99	205	44.9%92 W · 113 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No	39c	3,333$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.13	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No	42c	3,267$1,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,882.28	168	38.1%64 W · 104 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No	41c	3,010$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,776.22	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes	11c	2,729$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes	61c	2,623$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No	42c	2,460$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,426.52	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes	51c	2,392$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.49	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	58c	2,346$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.8	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No	53c	2,264$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.15	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	70c	2,264$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.79	527	48%253 W · 274 L	-35.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No	39c	2,002$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.41	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No	39c	2,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ade…b5bcbacked Yes	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes	62c	1,895$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	39c	1,842$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.38	356	46.6%166 W · 190 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	59c	1,700$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.81	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Yes	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes	10c	1,485$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.39	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	41c	1,418$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839	418	54.8%229 W · 189 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes	59c	1,285$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.89	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	1c	1,173$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	9c	1,126$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.02	204	31.4%64 W · 140 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes	61c	1,097$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.3	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed No	41c	1,033$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.69	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No	41c	1,018$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.68	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No	41c	1,008$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.71	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	111	27%30 W · 81 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No	38c	1,000$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	298	62.4%186 W · 112 L	+34.5wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe4fa…a497backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes	61c	983.61$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…4342backed Yes	60c	970.02$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	10c	919.59$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.96	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c38…ad0abacked Yes	62c	901.42$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes	59c	895.66$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.35	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes	60c	894.99$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.95	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes	58c	850$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.5	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes	59c	839.99$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.59	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Yes	60c	837.4$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.44	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No	38c	823.45$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.72	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No	40c	816.12$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.09	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes	62c	800$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.68	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.24per pick	61cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	60c	788.33$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473	339	51.6%175 W · 164 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?this page
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event