TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,728 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed Yes15c19,132$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,262.162725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No4c16,656$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.782142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c13,310$9,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,573.5596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes15c9,065$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,687.043158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No34c8,469$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.0216838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes62c6,545$4,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No36c5,700$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.948139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes54c3,111$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No40c2,466$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.332828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No22c1,994$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4469440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c1,658$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No11c1,379$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.027226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes62c1,353$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes60c1,251$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.835271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c1,198$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes75c1,162$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No13c1,132$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.264959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes16c1,094$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.752948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No37c1,089$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c1,075$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes17c1,030$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.222237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes15c895$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.851833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No37c810.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.992532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes15c725.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.124623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c703.26$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.7452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.675728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No40c622.13$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.284136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes14c606.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.73020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes59c591.67$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No50c561.42$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7113946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Yes16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c479.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.997347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No30c466.05$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.87742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…5946backed Yes61c458.44$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No34c440.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.92661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c431.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes75c425.31$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No15c423.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.873237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No12c412.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9823244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb08…c7d9backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes17c295.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.612920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c281.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes16c280$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.21421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes17c276.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.471612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e3…793dbacked Yes17c256.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes16c223.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9714553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No60c215.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes15c213.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked No37c203.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.461145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8979…3e4abacked Yes15c202$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+418%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2031…4059backed Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes65c198.22$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.583259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes23c181.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.754261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Yes18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.671526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.672133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes17c165.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.913125.8%8 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac72…07c1backed Yes16c162.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes62c161.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf26e…921ebacked Yes18c137.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa506…f93bbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+116.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No29c112.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes58c109$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes15c102.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9511619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No15c96.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.283324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed No45c88.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked No35c84.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.994634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb350…bfb8backed Yes52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.621643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No48c83.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No48c82.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes15c80.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.541030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7f…fb81backed Yes15c80$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No15c72.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6516219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes71c72.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.961668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes70c71.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.136357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf6…8644backed Yes15c70.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.57520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes15c68.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+113.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes15c66.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9427226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No58c64.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8331958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9550…ed14backed Yes76c64.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3933…7818backed Yes77c57.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.