TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02d7…f14f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$167.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$181.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$173.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$818.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$979
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.17
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$160.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$466.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$777.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,708.33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,863.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$2,064.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$1,211.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+262.3%+$2,207.82
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$76.01
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.83
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$126.32
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,797Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$952.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$399.67
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.34
Will RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,939.37
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,188.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,845Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,671.77
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$475
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$106.21
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+136%+$2,734.33
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.04
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.27
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,657.76
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,949Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$1,330.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.