Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f54c5d06e9e7a7a11ed24123ab5743ba5b525745cf1338b7ec23d371e6f55ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,843,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,572,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,843,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…7320backed Yes | 36c | 5,234,990$1,859,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859,703.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 2,856,148$1,862,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993,446.69 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 64c | 850,000$544,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306,000 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 436,470$290,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,262.96 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 65c | 397,532$256,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,925.9 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 34c | 324,960$110,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,486.38 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Yes | 34c | 323,135$109,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,866.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 33c | 318,816$105,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,209.2 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Yes | 36c | 296,417$106,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,374.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 66c | 263,163$173,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,636.19 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 64c | 235,671$151,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,269.14 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked No | 65c | 222,500$144,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,874.99 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 64c | 200,000$128,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,999.95 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked No | 66c | 199,999$132,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,999.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 64c | 187,500$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,500.12 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Yes | 35c | 161,496$57,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,038.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 140,172$90,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,575.59 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 66c | 111,582$73,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,273.41 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 65c | 88,888$57,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,333.02 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 76,498$18,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,962.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed No | 65c | 75,045$48,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,265.75 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 65c | 75,000$48,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,249.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 64c | 70,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.98 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 32c | 68,447$21,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,905.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 37c | 65,830$24,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,357.26 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes | 8c | 64,318$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.41 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 64c | 60,870$38,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,913.2 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 50,838$33,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,737.13 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 64c | 50,607$32,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,218.67 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 65c | 43,700$28,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,439.98 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 6c | 42,833$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.68 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 40,252$25,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.81 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed No | 64c | 37,700$24,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,572 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 64c | 37,282$23,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,421.52 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 65c | 36,636$23,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,822.54 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 65c | 33,230$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,630.5 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 64c | 32,000$20,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,520 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 36c | 31,973$11,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,643.99 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…09b0backed No | 64c | 26,980$17,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,712.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 23c | 25,817$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 24,999$16,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,751.3 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 2c | 24,667$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.61 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 66c | 24,065$15,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,111.42 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 64c | 24,000$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 65c | 20,800$13,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.06 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed No | 65c | 20,440$13,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked No | 64c | 20,412$13,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,348.2 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed No | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 19,116$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.44 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…b13dbacked Yes | 34c | 18,190$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 65c | 18,000$11,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.94 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 64c | 15,790$10,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.4 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 65c | 15,000$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.95 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes | 7c | 13,824$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.67 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 64c | 13,750$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 13,661$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.39 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 65c | 13,600$8,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.89 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 2c | 12,950$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 34c | 12,354$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.45 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 12,205$8,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 34c | 12,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.94 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 11,897$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 11,729$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.47 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 11,497$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 65c | 11,400$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…4ecfbacked Yes | 8c | 11,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 11,108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 65c | 10,325$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.75 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…0fa4backed Yes | 10c | 10,320$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.43 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…a98ebacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…0216backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 65c | 9,975$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.25 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 8c | 9,656$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.39 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 9,100$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.43 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 4c | 9,095$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.75 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…4a14backed No | 65c | 8,938$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Yes | 0c | 8,900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 65c | 8,721$5,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.75 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…5452backed Yes | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 8,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Yes | 16c | 7,931$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.04 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked No | 65c | 7,892$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…dcb1backed Yes | 1c | 7,602$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 64c | 7,590$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.4 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Yes | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 20c | 6,985$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…440bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,553$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 34c | 6,173$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.95 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?this page
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?No won
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.