Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f5760095b3b903c895b320765ccdd4074b72750458b09fde516f6254bcec67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,651,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,227,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,651,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,008 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 51c | 2,724,805$1,377,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377,321.7 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…3b90backed No | 58c | 1,095,017$635,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635,109.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 766,793$117,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,642.88 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 667,517$293,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373,849.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 646,217$309,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337,202.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 57c | 596,843$341,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341,703.95 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Yes | 43c | 499,999$214,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,999.21 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 43c | 413,000$177,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,410 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 404,268$250,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,012.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 389,873$222,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222,052.91 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 43c | 312,279$134,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,999.22 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed No | 56c | 299,989$167,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,993.89 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 56c | 255,171$142,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,895.77 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 44c | 233,452$102,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,067.84 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 42c | 216,640$91,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,388.36 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 44c | 200,000$88,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,000 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed No | 7c | 184,851$13,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,151.05 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 57c | 165,428$94,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,473.54 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked No | 56c | 150,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,999.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 56c | 137,799$76,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,548.65 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 42c | 132,211$55,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,260.18 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed No | 24c | 130,390$31,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,681.71 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 57c | 127,010$72,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,395.79 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 43c | 103,250$44,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,852.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 100,780$43,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,165.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed No | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.83 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 43c | 91,991$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,991.34 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 41c | 87,068$35,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,399.96 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 5c | 76,346$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.09 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 64c | 67,872$43,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,314 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Yes | 43c | 67,843$29,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,670.51 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 45c | 60,449$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,448.9 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 24c | 54,894$13,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,265.91 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 57c | 53,670$30,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,412.95 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…a9cfbacked Yes | 72c | 50,582$36,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,162.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.88 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked No | 57c | 48,421$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 46,043$19,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,708.88 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 22c | 44,694$9,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,742.71 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 44,324$22,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,753.08 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 45c | 43,000$19,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,625 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 42c | 42,964$18,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,739.6 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 10c | 42,531$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.62 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 22c | 42,107$9,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,409.13 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 20c | 40,247$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,019.35 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 42c | 38,885$16,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,608.85 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 8c | 38,825$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.01 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Yes | 42c | 37,520$15,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,761.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…55e7backed Yes | 43c | 35,894$15,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,459.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 23c | 34,935$7,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.7 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 58c | 32,900$19,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,082 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 41c | 32,442$13,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,140.8 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 62c | 32,418$19,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,459.33 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 56c | 32,077$17,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,927.19 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 29,796$16,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,603.67 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 44c | 29,704$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,704.02 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes | 42c | 28,909$12,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,714.03 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Yes | 40c | 26,886$10,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,128.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 53c | 26,448$14,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,031.17 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked No | 0c | 26,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…5ad0backed Yes | 44c | 25,682$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,381.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 56c | 25,641$14,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,358.82 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 9c | 25,602$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.86 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed Yes | 43c | 25,423$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,422.83 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 56c | 25,000$14,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,049.91 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 42c | 24,437$10,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,246.95 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Yes | 45c | 23,941$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,090.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 44c | 23,339$10,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,069.64 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Yes | 42c | 22,222$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,888.76 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 56c | 22,100$12,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,375.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 5c | 21,250$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 23c | 21,032$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.39 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 59c | 20,149$11,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320.88 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed No | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed Yes | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…1a08backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 56c | 19,999$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.64 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 19,586$7,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,607.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 21c | 19,268$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.43 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a7cabacked Yes | 44c | 18,809$8,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,532.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 4c | 17,999$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.36 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…8f51backed Yes | 44c | 17,815$7,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 17,085$11,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.69 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed No | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed No | 56c | 16,999$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,549.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 57c | 16,372$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,289.98 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 44c | 15,702$6,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.02 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 9c | 15,256$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.87 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 53c | 15,219$8,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,032.48 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 59c | 15,036$8,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.54 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 57c | 15,000$8,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,510 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 14,954$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,822.74 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 43c | 14,800$6,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,456 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed No | 57c | 14,474$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250.17 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…2fa7backed Yes | 44c | 14,348$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,034.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?this page
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?No won
- Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.