TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75f0…2b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
324
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT29030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 290 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,363.14
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.12
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+198.1%+$1,386.56
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.16
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,034.74
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,071.18
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.48
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,305.19
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$6,114.88
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+167%+$5,214.45
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,664.09
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,171.5%+$16,390.11
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.61
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,377.25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.22
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.11
Showing 25 of 290 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$1,453.96
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.61
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.22
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.45
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.03
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.48
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.36
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.98
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+77%+$170.51
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.06
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.62
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.22
Fluminense FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.46
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$525.3
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$7.8
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$44.55
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$87.53
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$10.09
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.78
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.