Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7052721b63b291309fdf806ff8353ff14371000a6a84a83bb8862e8a59cfe54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 23c | 2,050$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,036$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,218$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.54 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 992.5$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.34 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 28c | 976.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.05 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 65c | 913.71$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 905.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 289 | 32.9%95 W · 194 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 36c | 858.17$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 35c | 830.07$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 796.87$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 33c | 742.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 264 | 53.4%141 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 15c | 661.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 80c | 607.29$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 62c | 562.66$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Yes | 21c | 493.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 452.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 494 | 67.8%335 W · 159 L | +69.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 10c | 433.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 36c | 416$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 22c | 355.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 342.71$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 303.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 290 | 36.2%105 W · 185 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 290.61$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 272.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 60c | 263.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 257.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…df2ebacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 215 | 39.5%85 W · 130 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 209.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 185$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 151.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 474 | 55.5%263 W · 211 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…447cbacked Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 25c | 118.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 20c | 116.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 115.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…975cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 96.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 56c | 94.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 55c | 76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 19c | 69.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 618 | 42.6%263 W · 355 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 34c | 62.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 60.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 58.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 854 | 47.9%409 W · 445 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 26c | 51.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 344 | 55.2%190 W · 154 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 79c | 46.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 49c | 34.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 79c | 27.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 77c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 57c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 560 | 47%263 W · 297 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 80c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 80c | 13.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.