TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No26c18,378$4,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,717.063447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c8,894$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.52,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c7,280$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.055,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes67c7,270$4,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.4217753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed No24c5,441$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.452642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No23c3,437$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.342857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+114.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked No32c3,166$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.62934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes75c2,879$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.113818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No24c2,830$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes59c2,612$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.542548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked No28c2,464$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.543633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No26c2,073$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.0717249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No40c2,016$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.3948768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72024247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No2c1,927$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.643336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes58c1,923$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.0327037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes76c1,893$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.161,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed No23c1,723$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.283253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c1,475$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.722,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed No35c1,300$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.811526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No45c1,068$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2613654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No44c1,044$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8930548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No31c1,028$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.365420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No62c1,008$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.915655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes78c994.09$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1416858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes57c982.41$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.9547155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c980.19$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.381,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes62c928$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6411762.4%73 W · 44 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes72c923.69$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.486663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed No23c882.04$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.991770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c834.73$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.451,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes66c825.92$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7992835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed No23c822.87$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.462045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No14c792.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6514646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c737.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.51,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No5c716.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7314942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c626.33$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.311,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No35c624.33$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9826136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No37c595.31$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4418851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes20c556.58$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.263627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+249%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No59c553.8$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.426460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No17c518.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No19c480$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No42c467.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5225653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No39c457.53$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.94825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No35c450$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.417357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes36c416$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.243234.4%11 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No28c393.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.854621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c387.88$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.641,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes58c336.21$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.214242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No26c330.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.961,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Yes21c324.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.56560%3 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick14cpaid+194.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes59c316.27$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.672040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No18c315.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1636142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed No58c314.88$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.711233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes60c300$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.715240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Yes61c296.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes69c284.21$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.422853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No80c234$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1219965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes73c214.57$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6384347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed No26c209.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.572020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c209.58$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.711,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes54c209.27$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6670842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes73c206.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.991,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes72c204.46$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5899…4623backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes63c170.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4314949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes60c168.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6326348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Yes60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83bf…8aa4backed Yes61c164$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No44c157.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6520638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes63c140.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3910454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes55c139.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No45c125.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.564245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes62c114.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9172144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No33c104.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.287546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No25c101$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.484057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No41c95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9514446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No31c92.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4758542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes69c88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2882053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked No22c87.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddeb…83f3backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed No47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.441,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.653946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No42c78.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7911145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No36c78.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.122544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No25c77.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7418542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes68c77.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No72c75.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c74.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes66c72.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked No28c71.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes57c70.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No36c70.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.724548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed No28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c65.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0324448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.