TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ab0…ba53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6361.9%39 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.89
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.06
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$207.37
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.95
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$125.8
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.34
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.91
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$146.51
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$263.39
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$45.24
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$150.74
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.59
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$69.95
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$110.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.33
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$64.22
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$124.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.88
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$96.37
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.79
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.75
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.53
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.02
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.76
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$271.9
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.51
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$93.04
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$115.38
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.91
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$150.1
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.98
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$84.77
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.66
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$70.78
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$24.77
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$45.63
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked MAGICOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.09
Counter-Strike: Team Recrent vs Team shoke (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Team Recrent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.17
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+92.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troyes: Kilian Feldbausch vs Marvin Moellerbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.