TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c17,511$9,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,010.7817249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked No52c14,100$7,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,297.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes48c11,446$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,950.341,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0601258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c4,619$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.691,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c4,131$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.65,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6254647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No50c2,795$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Yes53c2,300$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes53c1,973$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.434847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c1,876$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.52,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No23c1,768$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1670842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f6…e7abbacked Yes51c1,452$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes48c984.62$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Yes51c945.99$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.071921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes40c843.18$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.852015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Yes46c697.49$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.431833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked No63c631.3$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No59c613.02$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1614646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes53c432.75$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.396747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes50c432.24$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.126349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Yes51c392.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.352875%21 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes51c285.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.974163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes67c277.31$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1892835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes48c254$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No43c251$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1424247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes49c243.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5929432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes63c230.68$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes50c225.94$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.11,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c209.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.381,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes48c172$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.219354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes48c168.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7240550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes38c157.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8611861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c153.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.261,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No43c147.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes37c137.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes48c135.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4116647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c135$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No40c121.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9858542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes48c120.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.752060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed No52c119.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes48c114.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5713849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No48c102$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes52c96.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.66841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Yes46c87.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.172065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ff…6a5fbacked Yes50c82.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No49c82.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes48c82.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.557553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No50c78.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8926348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes48c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4618161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked No21c73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.043831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed No50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid+6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes48c61.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.763855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed No49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes49c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.453946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes50c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6617041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes67c57.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.814852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes48c56.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1631960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No40c55.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2972144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11dd…4515backed No33c50.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes76c50.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8210454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.524061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed No52c48.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Yes50c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes38c44.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.583040%12 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674450%22 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes51c38.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.743161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.977056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Yes50c34.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Yes56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.361656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes55c29.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4817058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes48c29.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.152556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No49c28.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9732654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8a…189fbacked Yes53c28.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.235100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No48c26.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.726358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2150…fa7bbacked No43c25.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes48c21.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.033956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x685e…fec3backed Yes50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed No49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfc…10e1backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Yes55c19.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.884560%27 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes58c17.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.