TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdff0…0ff5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Mls, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9364.5%60 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+82%+$23.94
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$545
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+796.9%+$444.25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$366
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+108%+$311.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$125.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$83.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$56.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$539.99
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.74
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-86.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+49.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.