Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ba9989e842a54a85d7ed40f037bafbced4f9cf86ebe4309c7ddcfea95a9858d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 6,513$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 4,972$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 22c | 2,331$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.85 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…30b9backed Yes | 9c | 1,343$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,261$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,131$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,058$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 878.98$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 18c | 555.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 555.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 22c | 265.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 24c | 187.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 16c | 143.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 104.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 98.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 22c | 85.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 71.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 17c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked No | 79c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 79c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked No | 79c | 13.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?No won
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.