South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0123c8be2a460e6f21df29bb8d0601e24bc04a248f2510851ab796c41c9d7b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 25c | 13,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 6,547$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.64 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 4,110$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 75c | 3,112$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.1 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked No | 75c | 2,807$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,752$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.53 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 1,833$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 1,781$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.81 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 16c | 1,561$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.76 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,279$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,176$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.22 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 1,043$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 921.69$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 312.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 119$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 23c | 96.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 92.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 21c | 66.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 75c | 65.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 75c | 65.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 75c | 65.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 75c | 62.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 75c | 61.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 23c | 59.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 33.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 76c | 30.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 30.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 76c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.