Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22106d17d0128e12c36b8bb067623d7a45dfc3c6c66e40c344ceb70eece53784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 97,928$70,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,465.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 53,233$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 31c | 45,280$14,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,036.75 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 36,660$22,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,841.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 18,674$11,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 27c | 17,468$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.63 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 17,340$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,548.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 15,634$9,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 13,945$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.1 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 39c | 12,611$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 38c | 9,778$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.45 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 19c | 7,828$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.35 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 33c | 7,044$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.74 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 6,574$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 61c | 5,897$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.64 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 31c | 5,806$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 36c | 5,198$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.58 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 45c | 4,402$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 62c | 4,109$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.33 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 3,814$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.25 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 3,613$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 3,604$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.03 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,377$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.76 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 67c | 2,766$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.46 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 2,681$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,590$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.21 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…fe72backed Yes | 12c | 2,552$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 62c | 2,535$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.37 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 8c | 2,532$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b076backed Yes | 39c | 2,518$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 43c | 2,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 34c | 2,151$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 43c | 2,135$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.1 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,724$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.82 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 36c | 1,650$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 31c | 1,619$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,512$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 1c | 1,470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 35c | 1,446$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.3 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…449ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 37c | 1,334$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.18 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 37c | 1,300$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…2c61backed Yes | 22c | 1,259$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 1,244$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.71 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 41c | 1,223$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 1,179$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 66c | 1,106$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.91 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 38c | 1,035$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 38c | 1,020$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 71c | 1,001$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.18 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Yes | 49c | 795.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 67c | 772.61$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 62c | 703$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.26 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 24c | 700$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 38c | 625.06$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 59c | 620.04$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 59c | 610.07$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.02 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 39c | 596.85$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…798abacked Yes | 41c | 515.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 39c | 513.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 38c | 512$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 507.46$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 67c | 476.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 467$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 62c | 417.63$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 397.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.82 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb981…27dbbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Yes | 8c | 375.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…f06cbacked Yes | 5c | 373.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Yes | 38c | 339.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 57c | 320$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 62c | 314.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 31c | 312.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 136 | 23.5%32 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 311.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 28c | 307.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 300.02$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…56eabacked Yes | 20c | 297.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?No won
- Egypt leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.