TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6f6…0e74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
420
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT19861.1%121 W · 77 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$21.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$17.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$7.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$3.86
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$62.52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$19.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$4.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+356.8%+$57.8
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12752%66 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$413.3
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.28
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.78
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.06
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.32
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$77.76
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600.49
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$20.98
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.4
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65%+$36.63
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$1,223.14
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$93.61
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$56.49
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.65
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49%+$59.54
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$52.56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$65.91
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$71.88
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Will France win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$19.44
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$65.2
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$72.93
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+34%+$21.3
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$223.97
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.88
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.36
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$101.33
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$20.01
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$17.26
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+80%+$30.67
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.12
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$43.92
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+48%+$38.38
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.86
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$12.9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$9.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$22.74
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$10.66
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.8
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.88
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.26
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220.7%+$27.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.32
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.03
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$76.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$29.98
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$183.33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$224.93
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$150.62
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$303.16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.98
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$120.37
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$20.86
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$156.09
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.91
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$79.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.23
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$26.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+327.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+327.1%+$58.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.