Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x125d64e41a8b3225d81e84ec1fbeb58b1d8091fa9d54a9f500e01a00586baf9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 71c | 34,799$24,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,930.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 28c | 26,680$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 28c | 17,787$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.08 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 74c | 14,170$10,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 74c | 11,648$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.76 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 15c | 8,805$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.19 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 28c | 7,950$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.49 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 27c | 7,604$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.43 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 30c | 7,388$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Yes | 72c | 5,174$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 3,764$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.33 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 15c | 3,686$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.03 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 15c | 2,962$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.03 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 28c | 2,777$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 26c | 2,636$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 75c | 2,359$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.67 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 2,295$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.06 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,093$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.82 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Yes | 75c | 2,075$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…3f32backed Yes | 74c | 1,670$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 22c | 1,502$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 25c | 1,447$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.08 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 71c | 1,431$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 79c | 1,410$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 20c | 1,234$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 1,173$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 27c | 1,161$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…bfbdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,160$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 27c | 1,055$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 29c | 1,019$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 27c | 1,002$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.61 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 19c | 972.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 74c | 972.08$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.86 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 25c | 969$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked No | 18c | 948.88$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…9d4fbacked Yes | 75c | 937.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed No | 17c | 929.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 18c | 920.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…add3backed Yes | 70c | 912.28$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 17c | 880$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 77c | 781.79$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 27c | 748.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…266cbacked No | 28c | 722.09$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 78c | 667.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 20c | 662.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 77c | 660$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde4…6109backed Yes | 71c | 638.48$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 16c | 599.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 20c | 580.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 15c | 579.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 28c | 566.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…502fbacked Yes | 71c | 559.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…c349backed Yes | 72c | 555.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…746dbacked Yes | 72c | 555.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 71c | 555.2$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 27c | 543.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 77c | 543.07$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 26c | 539.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 526.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 26c | 508.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…89bdbacked Yes | 73c | 505.57$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…32cdbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 72c | 496.79$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 71c | 495.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 453.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 23c | 406.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 402.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 72c | 399.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 26c | 375.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…46b8backed No | 20c | 367.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 24c | 360.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 26c | 359.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 27c | 350.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 17c | 348.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 76c | 321$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…ce86backed Yes | 75c | 305.13$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed No | 29c | 295.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes | 80c | 290$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 14c | 282.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 75c | 265$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 232.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 30c | 229.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 60c | 224.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 223.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?this page
- Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No won
- Will David Wellstone be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.