TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3fc…484a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
588
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Tweets, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT12735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.55
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.54
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.6
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$27.45
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.49
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$109.4
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$4.65
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.27
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$185.12
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.79
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$219.27
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+293.7%+$61.92
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6826.5%18 W · 50 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.84
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$27.27
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.53
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.59
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.24
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.63
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.25
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+1,751.9%+$520.78
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.84
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.17
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT5733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$48.72
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+36%+$75.41
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.73
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.23
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$62.09
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.05
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$136.81
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$111.22
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.93
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$215.9
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.83
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$461.63
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.93
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.48
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.88
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.32
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.74
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$71.19
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.1
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$17.86
Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$38.15
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$6.42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+900%+$309.6
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.48
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.19
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$129.8
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.76
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.66
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+388.7%+$613.22
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$20.05
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$48.39
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.63
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.93
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.4
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.77
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$30.69
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.83
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.94
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mackenzie Hughes finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78
Will Jorge Campillo finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$121.5
Will Luke List finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Kristoffer Ventura finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$78.3
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Jacob Bridgeman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.54
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will Corey Conners finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$115.5
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$320
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Will Casey Jarvis finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$127.5
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Will Thomas Detry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Justin Thomas finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Francesco Molinari finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ryo Hisatsune finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.12
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.27
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$48.3
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.53
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.59
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.78
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.93
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$61.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$140.4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+343.8%+$177.04
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.72
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.78
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+74.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.5
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.34
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$151
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$130.5
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$313.95
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.48
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.21
Will Honeywell (HON) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31
All 21 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.88
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$33.53
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$30.89
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$8.12
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.8M in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$30.79
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.52
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$39.29
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.04
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$17.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.91
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$13.36
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.82
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$36.24
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$68.06
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$22.61
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61%+$11.37
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-80.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.75
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.8
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.13
Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.26
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.99
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will it rain in Denver on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will it rain in Atlanta on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$23.54
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.06
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$16.96
Will anyone say "Treason" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
Will a trailer for God of War Laufey premiere at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.97
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$91.85
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+93.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+364%+$39.23
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+629.3%+$745.23
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$42.34
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.61
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #1 US song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Droguet vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.54
Droguet vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Titouan Droguet vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$211.45
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35%+$71.25
Will Amanda Anisimova advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Mirra Andreeva advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+84.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-73.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.5
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$47
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.61
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.